- Purdue (28-5) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Penn State (22-12)
- Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
- Watch the Big Ten Championship game on CBS
The Penn State Nittany Lions (22-12) visit United Center to take on the #5 Purdue Boilermakers (28-5) on Mar. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Chicago.
Purdue is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).
The Penn State vs. Purdue Over/Under is 134.5 total points.
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Penn State vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Penn State | +7.5 -105 | O 134.5 -110 | +260 |
| Purdue | -7.5 -115 | U 134.5 -110 | -350 |
Penn State vs Purdue Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Purdue will win this game with 64.5% confidence.
Penn State vs Purdue Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Penn State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Penn State and Purdue, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Penn State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Penn State have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 48 games (+15.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games (+14.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- Penn State have covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 50 games (+12.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+9.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.30 Units / 35% ROI)
Purdue Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 48 games (+21.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 48 games (+16.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 35 games (+11.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.35 Units / 19% ROI)
Penn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Penn State has gone 21-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+7.8 Units / 0% ROI).
- 20-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.05 Units / 15.13% ROI
- 20-14 when betting the Over for +4.6 Units / 12.3% ROI
- 14-20 when betting the Under for -8 Units / -21.39% ROI
Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Purdue has gone 12-20 against the spread this college basketball season (-10 Units / 0% ROI).
- 22-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.05 Units / 7.28% ROI
- 15-18 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -13.22% ROI
- 18-15 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Penn State has made 236 three-pointers this season — most among Big 10 Teams
Penn State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (323 assists/ 190 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.1
Penn State has a 20% free throw rate (611 free throw attempts/2,993 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 30%
Penn State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (323 assists/ 190 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:
Purdue is shooting 48% (566/1,177) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Purdue has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,639 points/3,379 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.24
Purdue has averaged 1.33 points per shot (1,564 points/1,177 shots) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.19
Purdue has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,639 points/3,379 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Penn State has averaged 5.0 steals per game (111 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1
Penn State has averaged 5.2 steals per game (275 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.9
Penn State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (168 steals/30 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1
Penn State has averaged 4.7 steals per game (107 steals/23 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.5
Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:
Purdue has allowed an average of 1.04 points per shot (1,387 points/1,338 shots) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.13
Purdue has allowed 60.3 points per game (1,387 points/23 games) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.6
Purdue has allowed an average of 1.05 points per shot (995 points/947 shots) this season — tied for best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.25
Purdue has allowed an average of 1.04 points per shot (1,387 points/1,338 shots) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21
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