- Saint Mary’s is a -24.5 point favorite vs Pepperdine
- Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
- Pepperdine / Saint Mary’s TV channel: ESPN+
The Pepperdine Waves visit University Credit Union Pavilion to take on the Saint Mary’s Gaels on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00 pm in Moraga, CA.
Saint Mary’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -24.5 (-105).
The Pepperdine vs. Saint Mary’s Over/Under is 141.5 total points.
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Pepperdine vs. Saint Mary’s Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Pepperdine vs Saint Mary’s Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Saint Mary’s will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Pepperdine vs Saint Mary’s Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Saint Mary’s will cover the spread with 70.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Pepperdine Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Pepperdine has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Pepperdine has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Pepperdine has hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Pepperdine have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Pepperdine have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.15 Units / 17% ROI)
Saint Mary’s Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Saint Mary’s has hit the Moneyline in their last 13 games at home (+13.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+8.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- Saint Mary’s has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Saint Mary’s has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+5.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Saint Mary’s have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
Pepperdine Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Pepperdine has a 10-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.2 Units / -16.67% ROI).
- 4-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.95 Units / -61.4% ROI
- 10-13 when betting the Over for -4.3 Units / -17% ROI
- 13-10 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 7.91% ROI
Saint Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Saint Mary’s has a 14-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.95 Units / 11.13% ROI).
- 20-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.6 Units / 5.36% ROI
- 9-14 when betting the Over for -6.4 Units / -24.24% ROI
- 14-9 when betting the Under for +4.1 Units / 15.53% ROI
Pepperdine Offensive Stats & Trends:
Pepperdine is shooting 30% from three (166/559) this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Pepperdine has averaged 70.3 points per game (1,758 points/25 games) this season — 40th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 76.2
Pepperdine has a TS% of 46% this season — tied for 18th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%
Pepperdine shot 46% (780/1,714) last season — 5th lowest among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 46%
Saint Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:
Saint Mary’s is shooting 81% from the free throw line (447/549) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%
Saint Mary’s is shooting 81% from the free throw line (447/549) this season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 74%
Saint Mary’s averaged 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (420 rebounds/30 games) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
Saint Mary’s had 493 offensive rebounds last season — most among West Coast Conference Teams
Pepperdine Defensive Stats & Trends:
Pepperdine has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (2,457/5,300) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Pepperdine has allowed 8.9 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 38th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
Pepperdine has averaged 5.8 steals per game (145 steals/25 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Pepperdine forced 11.7 turnovers per game (339 turnovers/29 games) last season — 4th best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 11.1
Saint Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:
Saint Mary’s allowed 59.3 points per game (1,778 points/30 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
Saint Mary’s has allowed 5.5 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6
Saint Mary’s has allowed 61.4 points per game (5,522 points/90 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.1
Saint Mary’s has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (1,606 points/1,454 shots) this season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 1.24
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