- Mississippi is a -1.5 point favorite vs Pittsburgh
- Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
- Watch the March Madness First Four play-in game on truTV
The #11 seed Pittsburgh Panthers (22-11) visit UD Arena to take on the #11 seed Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-12) on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Dayton.
– in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 132.5 total points.
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Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Pittsburgh | +1.5 -110 | O 132.5 | +105 |
| Mississippi State | -1.5 -110 | U 132.5 | -125 |
Pittsburgh vs Mississippi State Prediction for March Madness:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this March Madness game with 52.3% confidence.
Pittsburgh vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Pittsburgh will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Pittsburgh and Mississippi State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Mississippi State vs Pittsburgh and all games with BetMGM
Pittsburgh Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Pittsburgh has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+23.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Pittsburgh have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 away games (+13.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+12.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Pittsburgh has hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+18.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+12.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games (+8.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Pittsburgh Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Pittsburgh has gone 22-11 against the spread this college basketball season (9.9 Units / 27.31% ROI).
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has gone 16-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.7 Units / -7.44% ROI).
Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends:
Pittsburgh has made 9.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Pittsburgh has a TS% of 49% this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Pittsburgh has attempted 294 threes in the second half this season — most among ACC Teams
Pittsburgh has made 104 three-pointers in the second half this season — most among ACC Teams
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State is shooting 62% from the free throw line (260/417) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%
Mississippi State is shooting 28% from three (128/455) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%
Mississippi State is shooting 24% from three (53/223) in the first half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%
Mississippi State is shooting 29% from three (285/986) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%
Pittsburgh Defensive Stats & Trends:
Pittsburgh has averaged 27.1 defensive rebounds per game (624 rebounds/23 games) this season — 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Pittsburgh has averaged 5.2 steals per game (120 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Pittsburgh has averaged 5.0 steals per game (106 steals/21 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1
Pittsburgh has averaged 5.3 steals per game (292 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has averaged 8.5 steals per game (474 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Mississippi State has averaged 9.3 steals per game (205 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Mississippi State has 205 steals this season — 2nd most among SEC Teams
Mississippi State has 474 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th most among Power Conference teams
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