Pittsburgh vs North Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 14

• North Carolina is a -11.5 point favorite vs Pittsburgh
• Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
• Pittsburgh / North Carolina TV channel: ESPN

The Pittsburgh Panthers visit Dean E. Smith Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels on Feb. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00 pm in Chapel Hill, NC.

North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-102).

The Pittsburgh vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Pittsburgh vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Pittsburgh vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 77.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Pittsburgh vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 61.5% confidence for today’s game.

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Pittsburgh Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 88% ROI)
• Pittsburgh has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
• Pittsburgh has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 88% ROI)
• Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.00 Units / 15% ROI)

North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:

• North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 16 games at home (+15.20 Units / 1% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+9.90 Units / 1% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 67% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.50 Units / 30% ROI)

Pittsburgh Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Pittsburgh has a 10-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.5 Units / -23.68% ROI).

• 9-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.35 Units / -6.05% ROI
• 14-11 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI
• 11-14 when betting the Under for -4.4 Units / -16% ROI

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 13-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.9 Units / 3.4% ROI).

• 19-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.1 Units / 0.75% ROI
• 12-12 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
• 12-12 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (287 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Pittsburgh averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (287 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Pittsburgh made 9.6 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Pittsburgh has averaged 1.21 points per shot (1,753 points/1,453 shots) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.33

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (483 assists/ 275 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (402 assists/ 228 TOs) this season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

North Carolina averaged 82.9 points per game (2,903 points/35 games) last season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

North Carolina has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (228 turnovers/24 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.0

Pittsburgh Defensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (216/691) last season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Pittsburgh has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (193/545) this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Pittsburgh has averaged 22.5 defensive rebounds per game (563 rebounds/25 games) this season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.5

Pittsburgh allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (216/691) last season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (1,696 points/1,528 shots) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 40% (425/1,062) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

North Carolina allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (2,492 points/2,158 shots) last season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 41% (891/2,158) last season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

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