Providence vs Butler Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 11

Butler head coach Thad Matta argues a call from the sideline during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Xavier, Saturday, March 4, 2023, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
(AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
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  • Providence is a -1.5 point favorite vs Butler
  • Total (Over/Under): 162.5 points
  • Providence / Butler TV channel: PEAC | NBCS

The Providence Friars visit Madison Square Garden to take on the Butler Bulldogs on Mar. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00 pm.

Providence is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Providence vs. Butler Over/Under is 162.5 total points.

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Providence vs. Butler Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Providence vs Butler Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Providence will win this college basketball game with 55.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Providence vs Butler Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Providence will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Providence has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Providence have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 25 games (+4.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.40 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Butler have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Butler have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.25 Units / 35% ROI)

Providence Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Providence has a 18-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.75 Units / 11.01% ROI).

  • 14-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 0.15% ROI
  • 21-10 when betting the Over for +10 Units / 29.33% ROI
  • 10-21 when betting the Under for -13.1 Units / -38.42% ROI

Butler Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Butler has a 16-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.5 Units / -1.47% ROI).

  • 16-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 0.15% ROI
  • 17-14 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 4.69% ROI
  • 14-17 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -13.78% ROI

Providence Offensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has averaged 44.4 points per game (1,376 points/31 games) in the second half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 39.7

Providence has averaged 1.48 points per shot (1,376 points/927 shots) in the second half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 1.36

Providence has 857 defensive rebounds this season — most among Big East Teams

Providence is shooting 48% (447/927) in the second half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 46%

Butler Offensive Stats & Trends:

Butler shot 38% from three (132/348) in the first half last season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Butler has a 42% free throw rate (916 free throw attempts/2,184 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Butler has a 40% free throw rate (1,503 free throw attempts/3,802 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 32%

Butler had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (466 assists/ 324 TOs) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Providence Defensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has allowed 86.6 points per game (2,166 points/25 games) this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 79.1

Providence has allowed 9.2 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 25th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Providence has forced 9.8 turnovers per game (305 turnovers/31 games) this season — tied for lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Providence has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (286/801) this season — tied for 32nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Butler Defensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (302/966) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Butler has allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (1,082 points/997 shots) in the first half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 1.16

Butler allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (104/344) in the first half last season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Butler allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (2,222 points/1,918 shots) last season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.