- Kentucky (21-11) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Providence (21-11)
- Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The #11 seed Providence Friars (21-11) visit Greensboro Coliseum to take on the #6 seed Kentucky Wildcats (21-11) on Mar. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Greensboro.
Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Providence vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 145.5 total points.
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Providence vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Providence | +4.5 -110 | O 145.5 -110 | +150 |
| Kentucky | -4.5 -110 | U 145.5 -110 | -185 |
Providence vs Kentucky Prediction for March Madness:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this March Madness game with 57.6% confidence.
Providence vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Providence will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Providence and Kentucky, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Providence Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Providence has hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+18.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- Providence has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Providence has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Providence have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Providence has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
Kentucky Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Kentucky have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
Providence Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Providence has gone 18-14 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.6 Units / 7.39% ROI).
- 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 2.34% ROI
- 17-14 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 4.55% ROI
- 14-17 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -13.35% ROI
Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Kentucky has gone 15-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-3.7 Units / -10.53% ROI).
- 14-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.35 Units / -26.88% ROI
- 20-12 when betting the Over for +6.8 Units / 19.32% ROI
- 12-20 when betting the Under for -10 Units / -28.41% ROI
Providence Offensive Stats & Trends:
Providence has averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (295 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5
Providence has a 39% free throw rate (527 free throw attempts/1,356 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 31%
Providence has a 38% free throw rate (1,215 free throw attempts/3,215 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 31%
Providence has made 6.3 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 35th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky is shooting 38% from three (246/653) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%
Kentucky is shooting 47% (1,642/3,466) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 44%
Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (439 assists/ 320 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.0
Kentucky is shooting 50% (1,092/2,183) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 45%
Providence Defensive Stats & Trends:
Providence has averaged 27.3 defensive rebounds per game (629 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Providence has averaged 27.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,530 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
Providence has averaged 5.8 steals per game (326 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Providence has averaged 7.0 steals per game (160 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.1
Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky has allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (1,899 points/1,587 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.26
Kentucky has allowed 6.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Kentucky has forced 12.2 turnovers per game (681 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 14.0
Kentucky has allowed 32.5 points per game (715 points/22 games) in the first half this season — 4th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31.0
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