Providence vs UConn Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2023, 10:34 AM
  • UConn (24-7) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Providence (21-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The Providence Friars (21-10) visit Madison Square Garden to take on the UConn Huskies (24-7) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 2:30pm EST in New York.

UConn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Providence vs. UConn Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Providence vs. UConn Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Providence+7.5 -115O 143.5 -105+240
UConn -7.5 -105U 143.5 -115-300

Providence vs UConn Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UConn will win this game with 65.3% confidence.

Providence vs UConn Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Providence will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Providence and UConn, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Providence has hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games (+20.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Providence have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • UConn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 35 games (+17.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • UConn have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 35 games (+12.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • UConn have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • UConn has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • UConn has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 14% ROI)

Providence Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Providence has gone 18-13 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.7 Units / 10.85% ROI).

  • 15-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 4.03% ROI
  • 17-13 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 7.92% ROI
  • 13-17 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -16.72% ROI

UConn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UConn has gone 20-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+7.95 Units / 23.31% ROI).

  • 19-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -1.79% ROI
  • 18-13 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 10.85% ROI
  • 13-18 when betting the Under for -6.8 Units / -19.94% ROI

Providence Offensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has a 39% free throw rate (527 free throw attempts/1,356 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 31%

Providence has 22.9 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1

Providence has a 38% free throw rate (1,215 free throw attempts/3,215 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 31%

Providence has made 390 free throws this season — most among Big East Teams

UConn Offensive Stats & Trends:

UConn has averaged 17.3 assists per game (398 assists/23 games) this season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

UConn has averaged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (760 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.4

UConn has averaged 7.0 turnovers per game (161 turnovers/23 games) in the second half this season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.0

UConn has averaged 1.33 points per shot (1,835 points/1,382 shots) this season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Providence Defensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has averaged 27.3 defensive rebounds per game (629 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Providence has averaged 6.2 steals per game (216 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Providence has averaged 5.8 steals per game (326 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Providence has averaged 27.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,530 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

UConn Defensive Stats & Trends:

UConn has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (609 rebounds/23 games) this season — 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

UConn has averaged 6.8 steals per game (157 steals/23 games) this season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.1

UConn has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,497 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

UConn has averaged 6.6 steals per game (226 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.