Providence vs Xavier Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 01, 2023, 12:10 PM
  • Xavier (17-5) are Xavier -3.5 point favorites vs Providence (17-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The Providence Friars (17-5) visit Cintas Center to take on the Xavier Musketeers (17-5) on Feb. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Cincinnati.

Xavier is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Providence vs. Xavier Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Providence vs. Xavier Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Providence+3.5 -105O 153.5 -110+150
Xavier -3.5 -115U 153.5 -110-185

Providence vs Xavier Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Xavier will win this game with 55.8% confidence.

Providence vs Xavier Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Providence will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Providence and Xavier, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Providence has hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 47 games (+30.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Providence have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 48 games (+10.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 36 games (+14.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 23 games (+12.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Xavier have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 24 games (+4.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.85 Units / 14% ROI)

Providence Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Providence has gone 14-8 against the spread this college basketball season (+5.2 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.55 Units / 20.3% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Over for -2.1 Units / -8.68% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Xavier Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Xavier has gone 12-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.1 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 13-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.5 Units / 9.86% ROI
  • 15-6 when betting the Over for +8.4 Units / 34.71% ROI
  • 6-15 when betting the Under for -10.5 Units / -43.39% ROI

Providence Offensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has made 376 free throws this season — most among Big East Teams

Providence has a 40% free throw rate (509 free throw attempts/1,287 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 31%

Providence has 23.1 free throw attempts per game this season — 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1

Providence has averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (282 rebounds/22 games) this season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

Xavier Offensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has averaged 20.7 assists per game (456 assists/22 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Xavier has averaged 20.7 assists per game (456 assists/22 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 14.0

Xavier has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (456 assists/ 290 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.1

Xavier has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (456 assists/ 290 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Providence Defensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has averaged 27.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,499 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Providence has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (598 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Providence has averaged 7.0 steals per game (155 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Providence has averaged 6.2 steals per game (216 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Xavier Defensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has averaged 27.5 defensive rebounds per game (606 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Xavier has 427 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd most among Big East Teams

Xavier has 158 steals this season — 5th most among Big East Teams

Xavier has averaged 7.2 steals per game (266 steals/37 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.