Providence vs Xavier Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 8

(AP Photo)
  • Xavier is a -12.5 point favorite vs Providence
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Providence / Xavier TV channel: FS1

The Providence Friars visit Cintas Center to take on the Xavier Musketeers on Mar. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Cincinnati, OH, USA.

Xavier is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-102).

The Providence vs. Xavier Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Providence vs. Xavier Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Providence+12.5 -118O 150.5 -105+575
Xavier -12.5 -102U 150.5 -115-900

Providence vs Xavier Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Xavier will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Providence vs Xavier Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Xavier will cover the spread with 51.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Providence has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.36 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 15 away games (+0.80 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Providence have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+13.90 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.24 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Xavier have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)

Providence Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Providence has a 14-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.65 Units / -11.06% ROI).

  • 13-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.7 Units / -3.59% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Over for +2.75 Units / 8.31% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Under for -5.55 Units / -16.87% ROI

Xavier Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Xavier has a 18-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.75 Units / 14.42% ROI).

  • 21-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.9 Units / 3.09% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Over for -3.65 Units / -11.04% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI

Providence Offensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (377 turnovers/30 games) this season — tied for highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 11.4

Providence has 377 turnovers this season — tied for most among Big East Teams

Providence has averaged 6.4 assists per game (192 assists/30 games) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Providence made 290 three-pointers last season — 5th most among Big East Teams

Xavier Offensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has a 37% free throw rate (636 free throw attempts/1,703 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 31%

Xavier has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (504 assists/ 338 TOs) this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Xavier has averaged 1.26 points per shot (1,089 points/862 shots) in the first half this season — tied for best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 1.19

Xavier averaged 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (406 rebounds/33 games) last season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Providence Defensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has averaged 5.0 steals per game (149 steals/30 games) this season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.9

Providence has averaged 5.0 steals per game (149 steals/30 games) this season — tied for 18th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Providence averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (941 rebounds/35 games) last season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Providence has averaged 5.8 steals per game (374 steals/65 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Xavier Defensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (881 rebounds/33 games) last season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Xavier stole the ball 229 times last season — 4th most among Big East Teams

Xavier has averaged 7.9 steals per game (238 steals/30 games) this season — 5th best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Xavier has averaged 7.4 steals per game (467 steals/63 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.4


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