Purdue Fort Wayne vs Detroit Mercy Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2023, 12:14 PM
  • Detroit Mercy (13-18) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Purdue Fort Wayne (17-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (17-14) visit Calihan Hall to take on the Detroit Mercy Titans (13-18) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit.

Detroit Mercy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Purdue Fort Wayne vs. Detroit Mercy Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Purdue Fort Wayne vs. Detroit Mercy Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Purdue Fort Wayne+4.5 -115O 153.5 -110+155
Detroit Mercy -4.5 -105U 153.5 -110-190

Purdue Fort Wayne vs Detroit Mercy Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Detroit Mercy will win this game with 60.3% confidence.

Purdue Fort Wayne vs Detroit Mercy Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue Fort Wayne will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Purdue Fort Wayne and Detroit Mercy, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Purdue Fort Wayne has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Purdue Fort Wayne has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 away games (+5.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Purdue Fort Wayne has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 away games (+4.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Purdue Fort Wayne has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Purdue Fort Wayne have covered the Spread in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.85 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+5.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+1.45 Units / 3% ROI)

Purdue Fort Wayne Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue Fort Wayne has gone 12-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.7 Units / -21% ROI).

  • 15-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -3.17% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -21% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI

Detroit Mercy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Detroit Mercy has gone 12-18 against the spread this college basketball season (-7.75 Units / -23.52% ROI).

  • 12-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -11.18% ROI
  • 17-13 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI
  • 13-17 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -17.27% ROI

Purdue Fort Wayne Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue Fort Wayne has made 9.9 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Purdue Fort Wayne has made 9.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Purdue Fort Wayne is shooting 35% from three (238/673) this season — 4th best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 34%

Purdue Fort Wayne has made 9.9 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Detroit Mercy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Detroit Mercy has made 10.3 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Detroit Mercy is shooting 48% from inside the arc (329/686) this season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 52%

Detroit Mercy has averaged 1.24 points per shot (1,818 points/1,463 shots) this season — 5th best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Detroit Mercy has an eFG% of 52% this season — 5th best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 51%

Purdue Fort Wayne Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue Fort Wayne has averaged 25.3 defensive rebounds per game (608 rebounds/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.8

Purdue Fort Wayne has averaged 8.2 steals per game (465 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Purdue Fort Wayne has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,335 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.6

Purdue Fort Wayne has averaged 7.3 steals per game (176 steals/24 games) this season — 4th best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Detroit Mercy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Detroit Mercy has averaged 22.3 defensive rebounds per game (536 rebounds/24 games) this season — 36th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Detroit Mercy has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,161 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.6

Detroit Mercy has averaged 5.9 steals per game (317 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Detroit Mercy has averaged 5.9 steals per game (141 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 6.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.