Purdue vs Houston Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 28

Houston guard Terrance Arceneaux (23) hangs on the rim after his slam dunk against Butler during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game Saturday, Dec. 7, 2024, in Houston. (AP Photo/Michael Wyke)
(AP Photo/Michael Wyke)
  • Houston is a -7.5 point favorite vs Purdue
  • Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
  • Purdue / Houston TV channel: TBS

The Purdue Boilermakers visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Houston Cougars on Mar. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 10:09pm EDT in Indianapolis, IN, IN, USA.

Houston is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Purdue vs. Houston Over/Under is 132.5 total points.

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Purdue vs. Houston Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Purdue+7.5 -105O 132.5 -110+290
Houston -7.5 -115U 132.5 -110-375

Purdue vs Houston Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Houston will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Purdue vs Houston Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Houston will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 38 games (+10.51 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 38 games (+9.55 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 38 games (+4.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 38 games (+1.65 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 38 games (+1.60 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 37 games (+13.00 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 37 games (+2.30 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 37 games (+1.45 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 37 games (+0.60 Units / 1% ROI)

Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue has a 19-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.4 Units / 3.64% ROI).

  • 24-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 3.12% ROI
  • 20-15 when betting the Over for +3.5 Units / 9.07% ROI
  • 15-20 when betting the Under for -6.9 Units / -17.97% ROI

Houston Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Houston has a 20-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.4 Units / 8.56% ROI).

  • 32-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.01% ROI
  • 14-21 when betting the Over for -9.2 Units / -23.14% ROI
  • 21-14 when betting the Under for +5.65 Units / 14.32% ROI

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue shot 41% from three (303/743) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Purdue shot 41% from three (303/743) last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Purdue averaged 1.42 points per shot (3,048 points/2,145 shots) last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Purdue averaged 1.42 points per shot (3,048 points/2,145 shots) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Houston Offensive Stats & Trends:

Houston averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (325 turnovers/36 games) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Houston has averaged 9.2 turnovers per game (330 turnovers/36 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Houston is shooting 40% from three (292/733) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Houston averaged 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (482 rebounds/36 games) last season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue forced 9.4 turnovers per game (346 turnovers/37 games) last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Purdue allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (1,334 points/1,149 shots) in the second half last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Purdue allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (2,556 points/2,309 shots) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Purdue allowed opponents to shoot 42% (960/2,309) last season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Houston Defensive Stats & Trends:

Houston averaged 9.9 steals per game (357 steals/36 games) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6

Houston averaged 9.9 steals per game (357 steals/36 games) last season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Houston has allowed 60.9 points per game (1,644 points/27 games) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.1

Houston has allowed 26.1 points per game (939 points/36 games) in the first half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32.8


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