Richmond vs Dayton Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 1

Dayton coach Anthony Grant shouts from the sideline during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Lindenwood, Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Dayton, Ohio.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
  • Dayton is a -14.5 point favorite vs Richmond
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Richmond / Dayton TV channel: CBSSN

The Richmond Spiders visit UD Arena to take on the Dayton Flyers on Mar. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Dayton, OH, USA.

Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Richmond vs. Dayton Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Richmond vs. Dayton Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Richmond+14.5 -110O 137.5 -110+800
Dayton -14.5 -110U 137.5 -110-1400

Richmond vs Dayton Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Dayton will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Richmond vs Dayton Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Dayton will cover the spread with 53.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Richmond has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Richmond has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Richmond has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 32 games (+2.20 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Richmond has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+8.15 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+0.65 Units / 2% ROI)

Richmond Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Richmond has a 9-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-10.8 Units / -36.43% ROI).

  • 8-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.9 Units / -33.53% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.25 Units / -0.84% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.35 Units / -7.91% ROI

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has a 13-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI).

  • 18-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.05% ROI
  • 19-8 when betting the Over for +10.2 Units / 34.29% ROI
  • 8-19 when betting the Under for -12.85 Units / -43.34% ROI

Richmond Offensive Stats & Trends:

Richmond averaged 8.6 turnovers per game (268 turnovers/31 games) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.4

Richmond has averaged 6.2 offensive rebounds per game (375 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Richmond has averaged 67.2 points per game (1,948 points/29 games) this season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 73.0

Richmond has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (562 turnovers/60 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton is shooting 38% from three (521/1,363) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton has averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,494 points/3,237 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Richmond Defensive Stats & Trends:

Richmond averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (838 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Richmond has averaged 6.1 steals per game (177 steals/29 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Richmond has allowed 9.3 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 16th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Richmond allowed opponents to shoot 41% (741/1,819) last season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton averaged 5.6 steals per game (178 steals/32 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Dayton allowed 66.4 points per game (2,124 points/32 games) last season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0


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