Richmond vs UMass Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 4

Massachusetts head coach Frank Martin is seen on the sidelines during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Saint Louis Saturday, Jan. 27, 2024, in St. Louis. (AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
(AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
  • UMass is a -5.5 point favorite vs Richmond
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Richmond / UMass TV channel: ESPN+

The Richmond Spiders visit Mullins Center to take on the UMass Minutemen on Jan. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Amherst, MA.

UMass is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Richmond vs. UMass Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Richmond vs. UMass Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Richmond+5.5 -115O 146.5 -105+185
UMass -5.5 -105U 146.5 -115-225

Richmond vs UMass Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UMass will win this college basketball game with 75.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Richmond vs UMass Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UMass will cover the spread with 63.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Richmond has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Richmond have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 32 games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Richmond has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Richmond has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+0.60 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+1.15 Units / 6% ROI)

Richmond Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Richmond has a 3-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.9 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -32.14% ROI
  • 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.55 Units / 11.79% ROI
  • 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.38% ROI

UMass Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UMass has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Richmond Offensive Stats & Trends:

Richmond has averaged 9.1 turnovers per game (410 turnovers/45 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Richmond averaged 5.7 offensive rebounds per game (176 rebounds/31 games) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Richmond averaged 8.6 turnovers per game (268 turnovers/31 games) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Richmond has averaged 7.4 offensive rebounds per game (104 rebounds/14 games) this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.6

UMass Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMass is shooting 26% from three (75/286) this season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%

UMass is shooting 30% from three (277/932) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

UMass has a TS% of 42% this season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%

UMass averaged 13.7 offensive rebounds per game (410 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Richmond Defensive Stats & Trends:

Richmond has averaged 27.4 defensive rebounds per game (384 rebounds/14 games) this season — tied for 46th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.9

Richmond has forced 10.0 turnovers per game (140 turnovers/14 games) this season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 12.6

Richmond averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (838 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Richmond has averaged 6.2 steals per game (87 steals/14 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

UMass Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMass has averaged 8.3 steals per game (116 steals/14 games) this season — 4th best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

UMass stole the ball 228 times last season — 5th most among Atlantic 10 Teams

UMass has 116 steals this season — 4th most among Atlantic 10 Teams

UMass has averaged 7.8 steals per game (344 steals/44 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.