Rider vs Merrimack Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

(AP Photo)
  • Merrimack is a -9.5 point favorite vs Rider
  • Total (Over/Under): 129.5 points
  • Rider / Merrimack TV channel: ESPN+

The Rider Broncs visit Lawler Arena to take on the Merrimack Warriors on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in North Andover, MA, USA.

Merrimack is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Rider vs. Merrimack Over/Under is 129.5 total points.

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Rider vs. Merrimack Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rider+9.5 -115O 129.5 -105+360
Merrimack -9.5 -105U 129.5 -115-475

Rider vs Merrimack Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Merrimack will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Rider vs Merrimack Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Merrimack will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Rider has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Rider has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Rider has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Rider has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 away games (+3.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Rider have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 20 away games (+1.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 15 games at home (+12.90 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+10.72 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Merrimack have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 33 games (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)

Rider Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Rider has a 13-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.55 Units / -11.51% ROI).

  • 10-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -14.78% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.55 Units / -11.51% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 2.28% ROI

Merrimack Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Merrimack has a 12-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.45 Units / -14.47% ROI).

  • 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 2.47% ROI
  • 11-17 when betting the Over for -7.7 Units / -25% ROI
  • 17-11 when betting the Under for +4.9 Units / 15.91% ROI

Rider Offensive Stats & Trends:

Rider has made 5.3 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Rider has made 5.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Rider has averaged 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (272 rebounds/27 games) this season — 5th best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 9.4

Rider has averaged 12.1 assists per game (328 assists/27 games) this season — 4th lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 13.2

Merrimack Offensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has averaged 8.9 turnovers per game (249 turnovers/28 games) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Merrimack has averaged 65.0 points per game (1,819 points/28 games) this season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.9

Merrimack has 14.2 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Merrimack has averaged 6.2 offensive rebounds per game (174 rebounds/28 games) this season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Rider Defensive Stats & Trends:

Rider has averaged 5.6 steals per game (152 steals/27 games) this season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Rider averaged 6.8 steals per game (190 steals/28 games) last season — 4th lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Rider averaged 25.2 defensive rebounds per game (705 rebounds/28 games) last season — 2nd best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.9

Rider has forced 10.0 turnovers per game (271 turnovers/27 games) this season — lowest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 11.6

Merrimack Defensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack averaged 9.8 steals per game (314 steals/32 games) last season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Merrimack averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (704 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Merrimack has averaged 9.4 steals per game (565 steals/60 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Merrimack has averaged 21.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,278 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.