Sacramento State vs Denver Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 4

Denver head coach Jeff Wulbrun yells to his team during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against UCLA Saturday, Dec. 10, 2022, in Los Angeles.
(AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)
  • Denver is a -2.5 point favorite vs Sacramento State
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Sacramento State / Denver TV channel: ESPN+

The Sacramento State Hornets visit Hamilton Gymnasium to take on the Denver Pioneers on Dec. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO.

Denver is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Sacramento State vs. Denver Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Sacramento State vs. Denver Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Sacramento State+2.5 -110O 140.5 -110+120
Denver -2.5 -110U 140.5 -110-145

Sacramento State vs Denver Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Denver will win this college basketball game with 63.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Sacramento State vs Denver Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Sacramento State will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Sacramento State has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Sacramento State have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.43 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.90 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.85 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.55 Units / 14% ROI)

Sacramento State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Sacramento State has a 4-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).

  • 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -34% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

Denver Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Denver has a 3-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -60% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

Sacramento State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State had 337 offensive rebounds last season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State averaged 10.9 offensive rebounds per game (337 rebounds/31 games) last season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Sacramento State averaged 13.9 turnovers per game (432 turnovers/31 games) last season — 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Sacramento State averaged 67.6 points per game (2,096 points/31 games) last season — 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Denver Offensive Stats & Trends:

Denver averaged 80.9 points per game (2,589 points/32 games) last season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 75.1

Denver averaged 80.9 points per game (2,589 points/32 games) last season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Denver averaged 38% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (743 free throw attempts/1,978 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 30th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Denver averaged 1.31 points per shot (2,589 points/1,978 shots) last season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Sacramento State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State averaged 5.1 steals per game (158 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Sacramento State forced 9.9 turnovers per game (307 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Sacramento State allowed 71.1 points per game (2,203 points/31 games) last season — 5th highest among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 72.5

Denver Defensive Stats & Trends:

Denver stole the ball 196 times last season — 2nd most among Summit Teams

Denver averaged 6.1 steals per game (196 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 5.6

Denver forced 10.2 turnovers per game (328 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 36th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Denver allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (246/702) last season — tied for 43rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.