Sacramento State vs Montana Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 1

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  • Montana is a -11.5 point favorite vs Sacramento State
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Sacramento State / Montana TV channel: ESPN+

The Sacramento State Hornets visit Dahlberg Arena to take on the Montana Grizzlies on Feb. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Missoula, MT, USA.

Montana is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The Sacramento State vs. Montana Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Sacramento State vs. Montana Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Sacramento State+11.5 -115O 140.5 -110+500
Montana -11.5 -105U 140.5 -110-700

Sacramento State vs Montana Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Montana will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Sacramento State vs Montana Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Montana will cover the spread with 55.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Sacramento State has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 17 away games (+10.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Sacramento State have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Sacramento State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 17 away games (+3.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 away games (+1.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.03 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Montana has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+8.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Montana has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Montana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+5.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Montana have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Montana has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.10 Units / 5% ROI)

Sacramento State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Sacramento State has a 7-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4 Units / -21.39% ROI).

  • 3-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -47.66% ROI
  • 5-12 when betting the Over for -8.25 Units / -44% ROI
  • 12-5 when betting the Under for +6.5 Units / 34.85% ROI

Montana Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Montana has a 8-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.9 Units / -9.09% ROI).

  • 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 7.1% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting the Over for +2.2 Units / 10.5% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting the Under for -4.05 Units / -19.42% ROI

Sacramento State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State had 337 offensive rebounds last season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State averaged 67.6 points per game (2,096 points/31 games) last season — 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Sacramento State has averaged 66.5 points per game (1,396 points/21 games) this season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.3

Sacramento State averaged 13.9 turnovers per game (432 turnovers/31 games) last season — 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Montana Offensive Stats & Trends:

Montana had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (508 assists/ 341 TOs) last season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Montana averaged 7.5 offensive rebounds per game (256 rebounds/34 games) last season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Montana shot 79% from the free throw line (437/552) last season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 73%

Montana had 16.2 free throw attempts per game last season — 35th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Sacramento State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (471/1,126) this season — best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Sacramento State has averaged 24.2 defensive rebounds per game (509 rebounds/21 games) this season — 3rd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.5

Sacramento State averaged 5.1 steals per game (158 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Sacramento State has allowed 67.5 points per game (1,418 points/21 games) this season — best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 71.9

Montana Defensive Stats & Trends:

Montana has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (149/448) this season — 3rd best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Montana averaged 4.7 steals per game (159 steals/34 games) last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Montana allowed opponents to shoot 45% (884/1,979) last season — tied for 4th highest among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 46%

Montana has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (1,488/3,287) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 39th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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