Sacramento State vs Northern Arizona Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 14

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  • Northern Arizona is a -1.5 point favorite vs Sacramento State
  • Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
  • Sacramento State / Northern Arizona TV channel: ESPN+

The Sacramento State Hornets visit J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome to take on the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks on Feb. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Flagstaff, AZ.

Northern Arizona is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona Over/Under is 155.5 total points.

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Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Sacramento State+1.5 -120O 155.5 -115-110
Northern Arizona -1.5 +100U 155.5 -105-110

Sacramento State vs Northern Arizona Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Northern Arizona will win this college basketball game with 55.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Sacramento State vs Northern Arizona Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Northern Arizona will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Sacramento State has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Sacramento State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+3.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Northern Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Northern Arizona has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Northern Arizona has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Northern Arizona has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Northern Arizona has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+3.20 Units / 53% ROI)

Sacramento State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Sacramento State has a 11-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.05 Units / -0.22% ROI).

  • 6-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -28.17% ROI
  • 12-8 when betting the Over for +3.2 Units / 13.85% ROI
  • 8-12 when betting the Under for -5.2 Units / -22.51% ROI

Northern Arizona Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Arizona has a 12-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI).

  • 6-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -31.14% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Over for -4.3 Units / -17% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 7.91% ROI

Sacramento State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State had 337 offensive rebounds last season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State has 25.0 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 20.3

Sacramento State is shooting 78% from the free throw line (467/599) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Sacramento State is shooting 42% (619/1,472) this season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Northern Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Arizona averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (231 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Northern Arizona has averaged 7.3 offensive rebounds per game (190 rebounds/26 games) this season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.5

Northern Arizona had an eFG% of 49% last season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Northern Arizona has averaged 10.1 turnovers per game (263 turnovers/26 games) this season — 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Sacramento State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State forced 9.9 turnovers per game (307 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Sacramento State allowed 71.1 points per game (2,203 points/31 games) last season — 5th highest among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 72.5

Sacramento State has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (719/2,075) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 31st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Sacramento State has forced 11.8 turnovers per game (284 turnovers/24 games) this season — 4th best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 11.1

Northern Arizona Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Arizona allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (198/622) last season — best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Northern Arizona allowed opponents to shoot 47% (878/1,855) last season — 7th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Northern Arizona has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (226/594) this season — 6th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Northern Arizona has allowed an average of 1.34 points per shot (1,978 points/1,479 shots) this season — tied for 20th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.27


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.