Saint Louis vs Dayton Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

Dayton coach Anthony Grant shouts from the sideline during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Lindenwood, Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Dayton, Ohio.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
  • Dayton is a -6.5 point favorite vs Saint Louis
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Saint Louis / Dayton TV channel: ESPN+

The Saint Louis Billikens visit UD Arena to take on the Dayton Flyers on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Dayton, OH, USA.

Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Saint Louis vs. Dayton Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Saint Louis vs. Dayton Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Saint Louis+6.5 -115O 144.5 -105+220
Dayton -6.5 -105U 144.5 -115-275

Saint Louis vs Dayton Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Dayton will win this college basketball game with 76.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Saint Louis vs Dayton Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Saint Louis will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Saint Louis has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games (+12.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Saint Louis has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Saint Louis has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+7.20 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Saint Louis have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Saint Louis has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+9.15 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 22 games at home (+0.64 Units / 3% ROI)

Saint Louis Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Saint Louis has a 12-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.6 Units / -15.44% ROI).

  • 16-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 1.06% ROI
  • 7-20 when betting the Over for -15 Units / -50.51% ROI
  • 20-7 when betting the Under for +12.3 Units / 41.41% ROI

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has a 13-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI).

  • 19-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 0.29% ROI
  • 20-8 when betting the Over for +11.2 Units / 36.3% ROI
  • 8-20 when betting the Under for -13.95 Units / -45.37% ROI

Saint Louis Offensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Louis has averaged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (231 rebounds/29 games) this season — tied for 42nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Saint Louis has made 9.7 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Saint Louis has made 9.7 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Saint Louis has made 281 three-pointers this season — most among Atlantic 10 Teams

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,384 points/1,694 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Dayton is shooting 38% from three (530/1,394) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (918 assists/ 638 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Saint Louis Defensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Louis allowed 79.2 points per game (2,536 points/32 games) last season — highest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 70.3

Saint Louis has averaged 28.2 defensive rebounds per game (817 rebounds/29 games) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Saint Louis allowed 9.2 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 9th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Saint Louis allowed 9.2 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 9th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has averaged 6.4 steals per game (392 steals/61 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Dayton averaged 5.6 steals per game (178 steals/32 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.