Saint Mary’s vs BYU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2023, 1:22 PM
  • Saint Mary’s are -6.5 point favorites vs BYU
  • Total (Over/Under): 129.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN2

The Saint Mary’s Gaels (18-4) visit Marriott Center to take on the BYU Cougars (14-9) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Provo.

Saint Mary’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Saint Mary’s vs. BYU Over/Under is 129.5 total points.

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Saint Mary’s vs. BYU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Saint Mary’s-6.5 -110O 129.5 -110-275
BYU +6.5 -110U 129.5 -110+220

Saint Mary’s vs BYU Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Saint Mary’s will win this game with 62.8% confidence.

Saint Mary’s vs BYU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Saint Mary’s will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Saint Mary’s and BYU, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 49 games (+21.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 49 games (+13.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 52% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 73% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+7.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+5.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • BYU have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)

Saint Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Saint Mary’s has gone 12-6 against the spread this college basketball season (+5.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 16-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 1.64% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Over for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Under for +1.1 Units / 5% ROI

BYU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

BYU has gone 10-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI).

  • 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -6.62% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Over for -2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Saint Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Mary’s has a TS% of 49% this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Saint Mary’s is shooting 47% (586/1,253) this season — 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Saint Mary’s is shooting 38% from three (179/472) this season — 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Saint Mary’s is shooting 36% from three (425/1,168) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

BYU Offensive Stats & Trends:

BYU has averaged 15.6 turnovers per game (359 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.6

BYU has averaged 14.9 assists per game (867 assists/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.2

BYU has averaged 15.4 assists per game (354 assists/23 games) this season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

BYU has averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (799 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 20th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Saint Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Mary’s has allowed 59.3 points per game (3,319 points/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.7

Saint Mary’s has allowed 5.1 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Saint Mary’s has allowed 5.0 made three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Saint Mary’s has allowed 57.2 points per game (1,258 points/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.5

BYU Defensive Stats & Trends:

BYU has averaged 28.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,644 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

BYU has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (402/1,263) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

BYU has forced 14.4 turnovers per game (331 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.9

BYU has averaged 27.7 defensive rebounds per game (638 rebounds/23 games) this season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.