Saint Mary’s vs San Diego Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 11

San Diego coach Steve Lavin encourages players during the first half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Gonzaga, Thursday, Feb. 23, 2023, in Spokane, Wash. (AP Photo/Young Kwak)
(AP Photo/Young Kwak)
  • Saint Mary’s is a -16.5 point favorite vs San Diego
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • Saint Mary’s / San Diego TV channel: ESPN+

The Saint Mary’s Gaels visit Jenny Craig Pavilion to take on the San Diego Toreros on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Diego, CA.

Saint Mary’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-115).

The Saint Mary’s vs. San Diego Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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Saint Mary’s vs. San Diego Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Saint Mary’s-16.5 -115O 136.5 -110-2000
San Diego +16.5 -105U 136.5 -110+950

Saint Mary’s vs San Diego Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Saint Mary’s will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Saint Mary’s vs San Diego Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Saint Mary’s will cover the spread with 60.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 33 games (+20.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 games (+13.90 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.90 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.66 Units / 32% ROI)
  • San Diego has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • San Diego has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+3.91 Units / 11% ROI)
  • San Diego have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • San Diego has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 19 games at home (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)

Saint Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Saint Mary’s has a 5-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.15 Units / -40.51% ROI).

  • 12-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 1.24% ROI
  • 8-7 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.13% ROI
  • 7-8 when betting the Under for -1.85 Units / -10.54% ROI

San Diego Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

San Diego has a 8-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 3-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.25 Units / -62.34% ROI
  • 6-10 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI

Saint Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Mary’s has averaged 15.8 offensive rebounds per game (268 rebounds/17 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.5

Saint Mary’s has 268 offensive rebounds this season — most among West Coast Conference Teams

Saint Mary’s averaged 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (420 rebounds/30 games) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Saint Mary’s has averaged 14.6 offensive rebounds per game (688 rebounds/47 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

San Diego Offensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego is shooting 27% from three (105/385) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

San Diego has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (193 assists/ 241 TOs) this season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

San Diego has an eFG% of 46% this season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

San Diego has averaged 11.4 assists per game (193 assists/17 games) this season — lowest among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 15.4

Saint Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Mary’s allowed 59.3 points per game (1,778 points/30 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Saint Mary’s has allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three (15/65) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

Saint Mary’s has allowed 62.1 points per game (1,055 points/17 games) this season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 71.5

Saint Mary’s has allowed 5.3 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

San Diego Defensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego has averaged 7.5 steals per game (354 steals/47 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 6.1

San Diego averaged 7.5 steals per game (224 steals/30 games) last season — 2nd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 5.8

San Diego has 130 steals this season — 3rd most among West Coast Conference Teams

San Diego stole the ball 224 times last season — 2nd most among West Coast Conference Teams


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