Sam Houston vs Western Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 2

(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
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  • Western Kentucky is a -4.5 point favorite vs Sam Houston
  • Total (Over/Under): 166.5 points
  • Sam Houston / Western Kentucky TV channel: ESPN+

The Sam Houston Bearkats visit E.A. Diddle Arena to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers on Jan. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Bowling Green, KY.

Western Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Sam Houston vs. Western Kentucky Over/Under is 166.5 total points.

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Sam Houston vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Sam Houston vs Western Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 65.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Sam Houston vs Western Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Western Kentucky will cover the spread with 54.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Sam Houston have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 28 games (+3.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Sam Houston have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Sam Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Sam Houston has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Sam Houston has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 18 away games (+0.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+9.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.40 Units / 4% ROI)

Sam Houston Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Sam Houston has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Western Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Kentucky has a 6-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 1.28% ROI
  • 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Sam Houston Offensive Stats & Trends:

Sam Houston had an eFG% of 49% last season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Sam Houston had a TS% of 46% last season — tied for 36th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Sam Houston has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (580 assists/ 537 TOs) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Sam Houston has averaged 15.5 offensive rebounds per game (170 rebounds/11 games) this season — 2nd best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 12.4

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky forced 13.6 turnovers per game (436 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Western Kentucky allowed 8.4 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 43rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Western Kentucky has forced 13.5 turnovers per game (148 turnovers/11 games) this season — 5th best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 13.0

Western Kentucky has allowed 77.5 points per game (853 points/11 games) this season — 3rd highest among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 71.1

Sam Houston Defensive Stats & Trends:

Sam Houston had an eFG% of 49% last season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Sam Houston had a TS% of 46% last season — tied for 36th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Sam Houston has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (580 assists/ 537 TOs) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Sam Houston has averaged 15.5 offensive rebounds per game (170 rebounds/11 games) this season — 2nd best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 12.4

Western Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky forced 13.6 turnovers per game (436 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Western Kentucky allowed 8.4 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 43rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Western Kentucky has forced 13.5 turnovers per game (148 turnovers/11 games) this season — 5th best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 13.0

Western Kentucky has allowed 77.5 points per game (853 points/11 games) this season — 3rd highest among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 71.1


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