- UConn (30-8) is a Connecticut -7.5 point favorite vs San Diego State (32-6)
- Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
- Watch the National Championship game on CBS
The San Diego State Aztecs (32-6) visit NRG Stadium to take on the UConn Huskies (30-8) on Apr. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 9:20pm EDT in Houston for the NCAA Men’s Basketball National Championship.
UConn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The San Diego State vs. UConn Over/Under is 132.5 total points.
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San Diego State vs. UConn Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| San Diego State | +7.5 -110 | O 132.5 -110 | +300 |
| UConn | -7.5 -110 | U 132.5 -110 | -375 |
San Diego State vs UConn Prediction for March Madness:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UConn will win this March Madness game with 67.8% confidence.
San Diego State vs UConn Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UConn will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both San Diego State and UConn, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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San Diego State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 47 games (+29.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.80 Units / 67% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+9.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 28 games (+8.25 Units / 27% ROI)
UConn Basketball Best Bets Today:
- UConn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 42 games (+19.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- UConn have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- UConn have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 42 games (+12.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- UConn has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- UConn has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
San Diego State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
San Diego State has gone 20-16 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.35 Units / 0% ROI).
- 30-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +24.2 Units / 15.44% ROI
- 15-22 when betting the Over for -9.2 Units / -22.6% ROI
- 22-15 when betting the Under for +5.5 Units / 13.51% ROI
UConn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
UConn has gone 26-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+12.85 Units / 30.74% ROI).
- 25-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 0.75% ROI
- 20-18 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 0.48% ROI
- 18-20 when betting the Under for -4 Units / -9.57% ROI
San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends:
San Diego State has averaged 0.99 points per shot (428 points/434 shots) in possessions with at least three passes this season in conference play — tied for 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.08
San Diego State has averaged 1.00 points per shot (457 points/457 shots) in possessions with two to five passes this season in conference play — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.12
San Diego State has averaged 33.0 points per game (692 points/21 games) in possessions with a paint touch this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 36.0
San Diego State is shooting 39% from three (39/101) on possessions with a ball reversal this season in conference play — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 36%
UConn Offensive Stats & Trends:
UConn has averaged 12.7 offensive rebounds per game (293 rebounds/23 games) this season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5
UConn has averaged 7.0 turnovers per game (161 turnovers/23 games) in the second half this season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.0
UConn has averaged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (760 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.7
UConn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (398 assists/ 289 TOs) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends:
San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (1,176/2,915) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%
San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (522/1,213) this season — 5th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%
San Diego State has forced 14.0 turnovers per game (309 turnovers/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.6
San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (156/507) this season — 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
UConn Defensive Stats & Trends:
UConn has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (609 rebounds/23 games) this season — 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
UConn has averaged 6.6 steals per game (226 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.2
UConn has averaged 6.3 steals per game (353 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.8
UConn has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,497 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
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