San Jose State vs Nevada Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 21, 2023, 12:28 PM
  • Nevada (20-7) is a -8.5 point favorite vs San Jose State (16-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
  • Watch the game on MW Network

The San Jose State Spartans (16-11) visit Lawlor Events Center to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack (20-7) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Reno.

Nevada is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The San Jose State vs. Nevada Over/Under is 134.5 total points.

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San Jose State vs. Nevada Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Jose State+8.5 -105O 134.5 -115+325
Nevada -8.5 -115U 134.5 -105-450

San Jose State vs Nevada Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Nevada will win this game with 68.4% confidence.

San Jose State vs Nevada Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both San Jose State and Nevada, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Nevada vs San Jose State and all games with BetMGM


  • San José State have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 33 games (+15.35 Units / 43% ROI)
  • San José State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 away games (+12.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • San José State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • San José State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+9.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • San José State have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+15.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.70 Units / 23% ROI)

San Jose State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

San Jose State has gone 15-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.9 Units / 10.14% ROI).

  • 13-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.55 Units / 20.14% ROI
  • 15-11 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 10.14% ROI
  • 11-15 when betting the Under for -5.5 Units / -19.23% ROI

Nevada Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nevada has gone 17-8 against the spread this college basketball season (+8.2 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 19-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.35 Units / 21.16% ROI
  • 16-10 when betting the Over for +5 Units / 17.48% ROI
  • 10-16 when betting the Under for -7.6 Units / -26.57% ROI

San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends:

San Jose State has averaged 23.6 points per game (330 points/14 games) in possessions with two to five passes this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 20.6

San Jose State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (219/329) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 73%

San Jose State has attempted 34 shots on right corner attempts this season in conference play — most among Mountain West Teams

San Jose State has a TS% of 46% in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 48%

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has averaged 10.6 turnovers per game (244 turnovers/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Nevada is shooting 49% (32/65) on right wing attemps this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Nevada has averaged 1.48 points per shot (96 points/65 shots) on right wing attemps this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.06

Nevada has made 1.8 three-pointers per game on possessions with a ball reversal this season in conference play — tied for 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 2.2

San Jose State Defensive Stats & Trends:

San Jose State has forced 7.7 turnovers per game (169 turnovers/22 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.6

San Jose State has forced 9.3 turnovers per game (495 turnovers/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.5

San Jose State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (519/1,251) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%

San Jose State has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (1,457 points/1,251 shots) this season — tied for 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (607 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Nevada has allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (1,534 points/1,276 shots) this season — tied for 4th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (171/512) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Nevada has averaged 6.3 steals per game (146 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.