SMU vs California Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 25

California head coach Mark Madsen during an NCAA college basketball game against Stanford in Berkeley, Calif., Saturday, Dec. 7, 2024. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
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  • SMU is a -4.5 point favorite vs California
  • Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points
  • SMU / California TV channel: ACCN

The SMU Mustangs visit Haas Pavilion to take on the California Golden Bears on Feb. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00 pm in Berkeley, CA.

SMU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The SMU vs. California Over/Under is 161.5 total points.

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SMU vs. California Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SMU vs California Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 59.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

SMU vs California Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games (+11.95 Units / 41% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 9 games (+10.55 Units / 48% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 1% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • California has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+17.10 Units / 3% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+8.15 Units / 4% ROI)
  • California have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • California has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has a 12-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.35 Units / -11.26% ROI).

  • 19-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.1 Units / 1.24% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 13.13% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Under for -6.6 Units / -22.22% ROI

California Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

California has a 14-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI).

  • 18-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.1 Units / 2.59% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

SMU is shooting 50% (851/1,701) this season — 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

SMU has an eFG% of 57% this season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

SMU has a TS% of 52% this season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%

California Offensive Stats & Trends:

California is shooting 43% (2,311/5,408) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 46%

California averaged 11.2 assists per game (145 assists/13 games) last season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 14.9

California averaged 1.31 points per shot (452 points/345 shots) in the second half last season — tied for 2nd lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.39

California averaged 34.8 points per game (452 points/13 games) in the second half last season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 40.0

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU allowed opponents to shoot 41% (762/1,857) last season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

SMU has allowed 10.3 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.4

SMU allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (2,171 points/1,857 shots) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

SMU averaged 8.2 steals per game (264 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

California Defensive Stats & Trends:

California allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (466 points/378 shots) in the first half last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.09

California allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (107/287) last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

California has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (204/669) this season — 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

California allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (59/155) in the first half last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.