- SMU is a -3.5 point favorite vs California
- Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
- SMU / California TV channel: ESPNU
The SMU Mustangs visit Haas Pavilion to take on the California Golden Bears on Feb. 26. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Berkeley, CA, USA.
SMU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The SMU vs. California Over/Under is 153.5 total points.
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SMU vs. California Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| SMU | -3.5 -110 | O 153.5 -110 | -175 |
| California | +3.5 -110 | U 153.5 -110 | +145 |
SMU vs California Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
SMU vs California Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 52.8% confidence for today’s game.
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SMU Basketball Best Bets Today:
- SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+8.45 Units / 1% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.10 Units / 6% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
California Basketball Best Bets Today:
- California has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- California has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- California have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 30 games (+1.75 Units / 5% ROI)
- California has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+0.60 Units / 1% ROI)
SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
SMU has a 14-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.25 Units / -0.84% ROI).
- 19-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 0.35% ROI
- 16-11 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 12.77% ROI
- 11-16 when betting the Under for -6.65 Units / -22.43% ROI
California Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
California has a 15-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.05 Units / 14.16% ROI).
- 12-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -4.23% ROI
- 12-14 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -11.89% ROI
- 14-12 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI
SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:
SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
SMU has an eFG% of 55% this season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
SMU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (444 assists/ 318 TOs) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
SMU is shooting 48% (782/1,627) this season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
California Offensive Stats & Trends:
California is shooting 42% (673/1,603) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 46%
California has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (282 assists/ 311 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3
California is shooting 31% from three (155/501) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%
California has averaged 10.4 assists per game (282 assists/27 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 14.6
SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:
SMU has averaged 7.9 steals per game (212 steals/27 games) this season — tied for best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4
SMU averaged 8.2 steals per game (264 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
SMU has 212 steals this season — 2nd most among ACC Teams
SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (315/826) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%
California Defensive Stats & Trends:
California allowed an average of 1.29 points per shot (969 points/753 shots) last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.17
California allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (59/155) in the first half last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%
California averaged 5.5 steals per game (72 steals/13 games) last season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.9
California allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (107/287) last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%
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