- Florida State is a -1.5 point favorite vs SMU
- Total (Over/Under): 158.5 points
- SMU / Florida State TV channel: ACCN
The SMU Mustangs visit Donald L. Tucker Civic Center to take on the Florida State Seminoles on Mar. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00 pm in Tallahassee, FL.
Florida State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The SMU vs. Florida State Over/Under is 158.5 total points.
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SMU vs. Florida State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
SMU vs Florida State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Florida State will win this college basketball game with 54.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
SMU vs Florida State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Florida State will cover the spread with 51.8% confidence for today’s game.
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SMU Basketball Best Bets Today:
- SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+1.85 Units / 1% ROI)
Florida State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Florida State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+13.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Florida State have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Florida State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.30 Units / 25% ROI)
SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
SMU has a 12-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.65 Units / -20.12% ROI).
- 19-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 0.76% ROI
- 17-13 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI
- 13-17 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -17.27% ROI
Florida State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Florida State has a 16-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.6 Units / 1.81% ROI).
- 15-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 0.02% ROI
- 14-16 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI
- 16-14 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI
SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:
SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
SMU has a 32% free throw rate (606 free throw attempts/1,876 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%
SMU has averaged 1.36 points per shot (2,557 points/1,876 shots) this season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.29
SMU averaged 15.2 assists per game (488 assists/32 games) last season — tied for 47th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4
Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Florida State is shooting 32% from three (693/2,161) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%
Florida State is shooting 32% from three (412/1,300) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%
Florida State is shooting 43% (808/1,877) this season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 46%
Florida State had 22.2 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2
SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:
SMU has averaged 8.7 steals per game (494 steals/57 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8
SMU allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (212/679) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
SMU has allowed 10.4 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.4
SMU has allowed 9.8 made three-pointers per game this season — 11th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Florida State has allowed 10.3 made three-pointers per game this season — 3rd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.4
Florida State forced 15.2 turnovers per game (471 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Florida State averaged 9.4 steals per game (291 steals/31 games) last season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6
Florida State has forced 14.1 turnovers per game (1,312 turnovers/93 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.6
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