- SMU is a -3.5 point favorite vs Florida State
- Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
- SMU / Florida State TV channel: ESPNU
The SMU Mustangs visit Donald L. Tucker Civic Center to take on the Florida State Seminoles on Mar. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Tallahassee, FL, USA.
SMU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The SMU vs. Florida State Over/Under is 154.5 total points.
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SMU vs. Florida State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| SMU | -3.5 -105 | O 154.5 -105 | -165 |
| Florida State | +3.5 -115 | U 154.5 -115 | +135 |
SMU vs Florida State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
SMU vs Florida State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 53.4% confidence for today’s game.
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SMU Basketball Best Bets Today:
- SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+6.85 Units / 1% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.45 Units / 4% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.10 Units / 7% ROI)
Florida State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Florida State have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+4.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+3.50 Units / 3% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+1.20 Units / 6% ROI)
SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
SMU has a 15-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.45 Units / -4.4% ROI).
- 21-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 0.43% ROI
- 17-13 when betting the Over for +2.65 Units / 8.03% ROI
- 13-17 when betting the Under for -5.75 Units / -17.42% ROI
Florida State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Florida State has a 16-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI).
- 16-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -2.31% ROI
- 13-17 when betting the Over for -5.65 Units / -17.15% ROI
- 17-13 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 8.17% ROI
SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:
SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
SMU averaged 1.21 points per shot (2,409 points/1,995 shots) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
SMU has averaged 81.5 points per game (2,445 points/30 games) this season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.9
SMU has a 37% free throw rate (658 free throw attempts/1,788 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 22nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Florida State has made 6.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.8
Florida State is shooting 32% from three (382/1,185) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%
Florida State has a 36% free throw rate (606 free throw attempts/1,678 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 29%
Florida State has made 6.3 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:
SMU has averaged 9.0 steals per game (324 steals/36 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7
SMU averaged 8.2 steals per game (264 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
SMU has averaged 7.9 steals per game (238 steals/30 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4
SMU has 238 steals this season — most among ACC Teams
Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Florida State has averaged 8.2 steals per game (230 steals/28 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.0
Florida State averaged 9.4 steals per game (291 steals/31 games) last season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6
Florida State has averaged 8.5 steals per game (520 steals/61 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Florida State averaged 9.4 steals per game (291 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
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