- Louisville is a -9.5 point favorite vs SMU
- Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points
- SMU / Louisville TV channel: ESPN
The SMU Mustangs visit KFC Yum! Center to take on the Louisville Cardinals on Jan. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00 pm in Louisville, KY.
Louisville is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).
The SMU vs. Louisville Over/Under is 161.5 total points.
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SMU vs. Louisville Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| SMU | +9.5 -105 | O 161.5 -110 | +375 |
| Louisville | -9.5 -115 | U 161.5 -110 | -500 |
SMU vs Louisville Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Louisville will win this college basketball game with 74.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
SMU vs Louisville Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 60.5% confidence for today’s game.
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SMU Basketball Best Bets Today:
- SMU has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games (+7.00 Units / 1% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 34 games (+1.85 Units / 0% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- SMU have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Louisville Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Louisville has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 20 games at home (+12.40 Units / 1% ROI)
- Louisville have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+5.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+3.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+1.50 Units / 6% ROI)
SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
SMU has a 9-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.1 Units / -14.03% ROI).
- 15-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 1.15% ROI
- 11-9 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 5% ROI
- 9-11 when betting the Under for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI
Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Louisville has a 10-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.95 Units / -4.33% ROI).
- 13-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 0.17% ROI
- 8-12 when betting the Over for -5.25 Units / -23.81% ROI
- 12-8 when betting the Under for +3.2 Units / 14.58% ROI
SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:
SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
SMU is shooting 49% (624/1,262) this season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
SMU has an eFG% of 56% this season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%
SMU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (356 assists/ 232 TOs) this season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:
Louisville averaged 5.0 assists per game (154 assists/31 games) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (154 assists/ 231 TOs) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Louisville has attempted 653 threes on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among ACC Teams
Louisville shot 28% from three (77/275) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%
SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:
SMU has averaged 8.9 steals per game (463 steals/52 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.9
SMU allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (212/679) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
SMU averaged 8.2 steals per game (264 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
SMU allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (2,171 points/1,857 shots) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:
Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (266/714) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%
Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (450/927) in the first half last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%
Louisville has allowed opponents to shoot 36% (221/619) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 41%
Louisville allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,463 points/1,827 shots) last season — tied for highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
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