SMU vs Pittsburgh Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 7

Pittsburgh head coach Jeff Capel questions a call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Clemson in Pittsburgh, Saturday, Jan. 7, 2023.
(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
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  • SMU is a -4.5 point favorite vs Pittsburgh
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • SMU / Pittsburgh TV channel: CW

The SMU Mustangs visit Petersen Events Center to take on the Pittsburgh Panthers on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

SMU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The SMU vs. Pittsburgh Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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SMU vs. Pittsburgh Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
SMU-4.5 -110O 147.5 -110-210
Pittsburgh +4.5 -110U 147.5 -110+170

SMU vs Pittsburgh Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 60.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

SMU vs Pittsburgh Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games (+4.15 Units / 1% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+3.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games (+2.90 Units / 0% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 34 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+4.85 Units / 13% ROI)

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has a 9-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.15 Units / -17.11% ROI).

  • 15-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.9 Units / 0.91% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Under for -3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI

Pittsburgh Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Pittsburgh has a 9-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.4 Units / -25.35% ROI).

  • 9-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.35 Units / -5.39% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 7.91% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Under for -4.3 Units / -17% ROI

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

SMU is shooting 49% (686/1,391) this season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

SMU averaged 1.21 points per shot (2,409 points/1,995 shots) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

SMU is shooting 37% from three (373/1,007) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (287 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Pittsburgh is shooting 66% from the free throw line (273/413) this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Pittsburgh is shooting 32% from three (349/1,082) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Pittsburgh has averaged 1.22 points per shot (1,632 points/1,338 shots) this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.32

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has allowed 10.1 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.5

SMU has averaged 8.8 steals per game (465 steals/53 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

SMU has allowed 40.3 points per game (886 points/22 games) in the second half this season — 2nd highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 37.2

SMU has averaged 8.0 steals per game (710 steals/89 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Pittsburgh Defensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (119/385) in the first half last season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Pittsburgh allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (97/306) in the second half last season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Pittsburgh allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (216/691) last season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Pittsburgh has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (93/260) in the first half this season — 2nd highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%


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