SMU vs Stanford Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 1

Stanford head coach Kyle Smith during an NCAA college basketball game against California in Berkeley, Calif., Saturday, Dec. 7, 2024. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
  • SMU is a -1.5 point favorite vs Stanford
  • Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
  • SMU / Stanford TV channel: ACCN

The SMU Mustangs visit Maples Pavilion to take on the Stanford Cardinal on Mar. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Stanford, CA, USA.

SMU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The SMU vs. Stanford Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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SMU vs. Stanford Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
SMU-1.5 +100O 151.5 -115-110
Stanford +1.5 -120U 151.5 -105-110

SMU vs Stanford Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 75.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

SMU vs Stanford Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 53.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+9.45 Units / 1% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.45 Units / 3% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+8.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Stanford have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+4.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Stanford have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.20 Units / 14% ROI)

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has a 15-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.75 Units / 2.44% ROI).

  • 20-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 0.44% ROI
  • 17-11 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 15.56% ROI
  • 11-17 when betting the Under for -7.75 Units / -25.2% ROI

Stanford Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Stanford has a 14-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 19-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 1.18% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -11.07% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

SMU averaged 1.21 points per shot (2,409 points/1,995 shots) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

SMU had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (488 assists/ 358 TOs) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

SMU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (456 assists/ 336 TOs) this season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Stanford Offensive Stats & Trends:

Stanford averaged 26% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (176 free throw attempts/671 field goal attempts) last season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Stanford had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (105 assists/ 67 TOs) in the first half last season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Stanford averaged 6.5 turnovers per game (71 turnovers/11 games) in the second half last season — 2nd highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 5.8

Stanford is shooting 33% from three (228/683) this season — 5th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has averaged 8.9 steals per game (312 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

SMU has averaged 7.8 steals per game (219 steals/28 games) this season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

SMU has averaged 8.0 steals per game (483 steals/60 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

SMU has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (747 rebounds/28 games) this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Stanford Defensive Stats & Trends:

Stanford has allowed 6.3 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Stanford averaged 5.7 steals per game (63 steals/11 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Stanford allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (247/687) last season — tied for 18th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Stanford allowed opponents to shoot 45% (829/1,844) last season — tied for 40th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.