- UCF (17-13) is a -7.5 point favorite vs SMU (10-21)
- Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPNU
The SMU Mustangs (10-21) visit Dickies Arena to take on the UCF Knights (17-13) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Fort Worth.
UCF is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The SMU vs. UCF Over/Under is 137.5 total points.
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SMU vs. UCF Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| SMU | +7.5 -110 | O 137.5 -110 | +280 |
| UCF | -7.5 -110 | U 137.5 -110 | -350 |
SMU vs UCF Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UCF will win this game with 65.4% confidence.
SMU vs UCF Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both SMU and UCF, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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SMU Basketball Best Bets Today:
- SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (+2.60 Units / 11% ROI)
UCF Basketball Best Bets Today:
- UCF has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+9.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- UCF has hit the Game Total Over in their last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- UCF has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 48 games (+5.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- UCF has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+2.75 Units / 2% ROI)
SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
SMU has gone 11-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-7.7 Units / 0% ROI).
- 9-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.05 Units / -17.91% ROI
- 20-11 when betting the Over for +7.9 Units / 23.17% ROI
- 11-20 when betting the Under for -11 Units / -32.26% ROI
UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
UCF has gone 15-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- 17-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -2.24% ROI
- 16-12 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 8.48% ROI
- 12-16 when betting the Under for -5.6 Units / -16.97% ROI
SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:
SMU has averaged 1.16 points per shot (1,591 points/1,374 shots) this season — 2nd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.23
SMU has an eFG% of 47% this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
SMU has a TS% of 44% this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
SMU is shooting 31% from three (151/484) this season — 2nd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%
UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:
UCF has averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (680 turnovers/51 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 12.5
UCF is shooting 36% from three (178/493) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%
UCF has averaged 1.24 points per shot (1,511 points/1,220 shots) this season — 5th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.23
UCF is shooting 35% from three (442/1,247) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%
SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:
SMU has averaged 27.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,520 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
SMU has 151 steals this season — 5th most among AAC Teams
SMU has 358 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th most among AAC Teams
SMU has averaged 6.4 steals per game (358 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0
UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:
UCF has averaged 6.7 steals per game (141 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.8
UCF has averaged 6.9 steals per game (351 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0
UCF has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (148/473) this season — 5th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 32%
UCF has allowed 67.3 points per game (3,432 points/51 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 67.8
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