SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 20

Wake Forest head coach Steve Forbes cheers on his team during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Virginia in Winston-Salem, N.C., Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023.
(AP Photo/Chuck Burton)
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  • Wake Forest is a -1.5 point favorite vs SMU
  • Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
  • SMU / Wake Forest TV channel: ACCN

The SMU Mustangs visit LJVM Coliseum to take on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons on Jan. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Winston Salem, NC.

Wake Forest is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (100).

The SMU vs. Wake Forest Over/Under is 159.5 total points.

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SMU vs. Wake Forest Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Wake Forest will win this college basketball game with 53.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

SMU vs Wake Forest Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Wake Forest will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • SMU has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+5.65 Units / 1% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 35 games (+1.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+2.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+0.25 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 19 games at home (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has a 8-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3 Units / -15.08% ROI).

  • 13-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 0.93% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting the Over for +1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting the Under for -3 Units / -15.15% ROI

Wake Forest Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Wake Forest has a 7-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.9 Units / -25% ROI).

  • 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 0.27% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting the Over for +1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting the Under for -3 Units / -15.15% ROI

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

Wake Forest is shooting 30% from three (219/739) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Wake Forest shot 47% (939/1,982) last season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Wake Forest is shooting 79% from the free throw line (762/962) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74%

Wake Forest has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (266 assists/ 214 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has averaged 9.0 steals per game (457 steals/51 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

SMU has averaged 8.1 steals per game (686 steals/85 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.6

SMU allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (2,171 points/1,857 shots) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

SMU allowed opponents to shoot 41% (762/1,857) last season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

Wake Forest is shooting 30% from three (219/739) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Wake Forest shot 47% (939/1,982) last season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Wake Forest is shooting 79% from the free throw line (762/962) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74%

Wake Forest has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (266 assists/ 214 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Wake Forest Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has averaged 9.0 steals per game (457 steals/51 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

SMU has averaged 8.1 steals per game (686 steals/85 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.6

SMU allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (2,171 points/1,857 shots) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

SMU allowed opponents to shoot 41% (762/1,857) last season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.