South Alabama vs Troy Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 25

(AP Photo)
  • Troy is a -3.5 point favorite vs South Alabama
  • Total (Over/Under): 131.5 points
  • South Alabama / Troy TV channel: ESPN+

The South Alabama Jaguars visit Trojan Arena to take on the Troy Trojans on Jan. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Troy, AL, USA.

Troy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The South Alabama vs. Troy Over/Under is 131.5 total points.

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South Alabama vs. Troy Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Alabama+3.5 -105O 131.5 -105+145
Troy -3.5 -115U 131.5 -115-180

South Alabama vs Troy Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts South Alabama will win this college basketball game with 63.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

South Alabama vs Troy Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 68.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • South Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+9.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.26 Units / 12% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.80 Units / 9% ROI)

South Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Alabama has a 11-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.4 Units / 23.53% ROI).

  • 12-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -10.97% ROI
  • 5-11 when betting the Over for -7.1 Units / -37.97% ROI
  • 11-5 when betting the Under for +5.5 Units / 29.41% ROI

Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Troy has a 10-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI).

  • 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -8.42% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (306 assists/ 161 TOs) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.1

South Alabama averaged 6.8 offensive rebounds per game (211 rebounds/31 games) last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 10.0

South Alabama has averaged 8.5 turnovers per game (161 turnovers/19 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

South Alabama has made 9.9 three-pointers per game this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Troy averaged 79.5 points per game (2,385 points/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 75.0

Troy averaged 79.5 points per game (2,385 points/30 games) last season — 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Troy is shooting 59% from inside the arc (260/437) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 51%

Troy made 8.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

South Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has allowed 11.0 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

South Alabama has 186 steals this season — most among Sunbelt Teams

South Alabama has averaged 9.8 steals per game (186 steals/19 games) this season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.0

South Alabama averaged 23.5 defensive rebounds per game (730 rebounds/31 games) last season — 5th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.6

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Troy has averaged 10.2 steals per game (489 steals/48 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Troy has 172 steals this season — 2nd most among Sunbelt Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.