South Carolina vs Mississippi State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2023, 12:10 PM
  • Mississippi State (19-10) is a -16.5 point favorite vs South Carolina (10-19)
  • Total (Over/Under): 125.5 points
  • Watch the game on SEC Network

The South Carolina Gamecocks (10-19) visit Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (19-10) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Starkville.

Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-105).

The South Carolina vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 125.5 total points.

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South Carolina vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Carolina+16.5 -115O 125.5 -110+900
Mississippi State -16.5 -105U 125.5 -110-1600

South Carolina vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this game with 74.8% confidence.

South Carolina vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Carolina will cover the spread with 58.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both South Carolina and Mississippi State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • South Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 20 away games (+15.50 Units / 76% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 18 away games (+11.70 Units / 59% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+8.05 Units / 134% ROI)
  • South Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in their last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 41 games (+21.10 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+11.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+9.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)

South Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Carolina has gone 15-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.45 Units / -1.41% ROI).

  • 9-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.15 Units / 18.31% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Over for -0.35 Units / -1.1% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -7.82% ROI

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has gone 16-13 against the spread this college basketball season (+1.7 Units / 5.33% ROI).

  • 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.66% ROI
  • 10-19 when betting the Over for -10.9 Units / -34.17% ROI
  • 19-10 when betting the Under for +8 Units / 25.08% ROI

South Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Carolina has averaged 1.13 points per shot (2,328 points/2,061 shots) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.27

South Carolina is shooting 39% (510/1,296) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 45%

South Carolina has averaged 1.12 points per shot (3,601 points/3,208 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.24

South Carolina has averaged 1.12 points per shot (3,601 points/3,208 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.24

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State is shooting 62% from the free throw line (260/417) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%

Mississippi State is shooting 26% from three (90/353) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Mississippi State is shooting 28% from three (128/455) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State is shooting 24% from three (53/223) in the first half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%

South Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 48% (304/636) in the first half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 40%

South Carolina has allowed an average of 1.22 points per shot (773 points/636 shots) in the first half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.08

South Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (607/1,283) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 41%

South Carolina has forced 10.8 turnovers per game (237 turnovers/22 games) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has 474 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th most among Power Conference teams

Mississippi State has averaged 9.0 steals per game (307 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Mississippi State has 205 steals this season — 4th most among Power Conference teams

Mississippi State has 474 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th most among SEC Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.