South Dakota vs North Dakota State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 05, 2023, 10:37 AM
  • North Dakota State (14-16) is a -5.5 point favorite vs South Dakota (12-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The South Dakota Coyotes (12-18) visit Denny Sanford Premier Center to take on the North Dakota State Bison (14-16) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Sioux Falls.

North Dakota State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The South Dakota vs. North Dakota State Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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South Dakota vs. North Dakota State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Dakota+5.5 -110O 142.5 -110+200
North Dakota State -5.5 -110U 142.5 -110-250

South Dakota vs North Dakota State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts North Dakota State will win this game with 63.2% confidence.

South Dakota vs North Dakota State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Dakota State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both South Dakota and North Dakota State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • South Dakota has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • South Dakota has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • South Dakota has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 25 away games (+2.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • South Dakota have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • South Dakota has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 away games (+1.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 48 games (+14.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.75 Units / 18% ROI)

South Dakota Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Dakota has gone 11-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-7.7 Units / -25% ROI).

  • 10-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -11.95% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

North Dakota State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Dakota State has gone 16-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.8 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.7 Units / 13% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -14.61% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 5.84% ROI

South Dakota Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Dakota has made 8.8 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

South Dakota has averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (172 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

South Dakota is shooting 39% from three (212/541) this season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

South Dakota is shooting 43% (577/1,343) this season — tied for 40th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

North Dakota State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Dakota State has averaged 11.2 assists per game (625 assists/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.2

North Dakota State has 18.0 free throw attempts per game this season — 5th lowest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 17.7

North Dakota State has averaged 11.5 turnovers per game (264 turnovers/23 games) this season — 5th highest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 11.9

North Dakota State has averaged 11.2 assists per game (258 assists/23 games) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

South Dakota Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Dakota has averaged 23.9 defensive rebounds per game (574 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 23.9

South Dakota has averaged 4.5 steals per game (107 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

South Dakota has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,318 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.4

South Dakota has averaged 4.4 steals per game (244 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

North Dakota State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Dakota State has averaged 4.2 steals per game (97 steals/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

North Dakota State has averaged 4.0 steals per game (226 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

North Dakota State has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,521 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

North Dakota State has averaged 25.8 defensive rebounds per game (594 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 23.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.