South Florida vs Memphis Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 7

Memphis head coach Penny Hardaway yells to his players in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Vanderbilt Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Nashville, Tenn. (
(AP Photo/Mark Humphrey)
  • Memphis is a -12.5 point favorite vs South Florida
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • South Florida / Memphis TV channel: ESPN2

The South Florida Bulls visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Tigers on Mar. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Memphis, TN, USA.

Memphis is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The South Florida vs. Memphis Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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South Florida vs. Memphis Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Florida+12.5 -110O 150.5 -105+625
Memphis -12.5 -110U 150.5 -115-1000

South Florida vs Memphis Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Memphis will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

South Florida vs Memphis Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Memphis will cover the spread with 56.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • South Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+5.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • South Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 16 away games (+4.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 away games (+3.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 32 games (+5.90 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.85 Units / 5% ROI)

South Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Florida has a 9-20 record against the spread this college basketball season (-12.95 Units / -40.66% ROI).

  • 12-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.6 Units / -7.72% ROI
  • 10-18 when betting the Over for -9.75 Units / -30.56% ROI
  • 18-10 when betting the Under for +7 Units / 21.94% ROI

Memphis Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Memphis has a 14-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.55 Units / -10.77% ROI).

  • 25-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.9 Units / 7.94% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.55 Units / 1.66% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -10.93% ROI

South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (463 assists/ 344 TOs) last season — tied for best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

South Florida averaged 10.8 turnovers per game (344 turnovers/32 games) last season — 3rd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 11.5

South Florida is shooting 32% from three (214/670) this season — 3rd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 34%

South Florida averaged 38% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (695 free throw attempts/1,832 field goal attempts) last season — 3rd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends:

Memphis has averaged 13.9 turnovers per game (416 turnovers/30 games) this season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Memphis has averaged 13.5 turnovers per game (811 turnovers/60 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 11.4

Memphis is shooting 39% from three (230/593) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Memphis has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (430 assists/ 416 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida has averaged 8.2 steals per game (247 steals/30 games) this season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.9

South Florida has averaged 8.2 steals per game (247 steals/30 games) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

South Florida allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (220/698) last season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

South Florida allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (220/698) last season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Memphis Defensive Stats & Trends:

Memphis stole the ball 253 times last season — most among AAC Teams

Memphis allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (75/249) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

Memphis averaged 8.4 steals per game (253 steals/30 games) last season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Memphis averaged 8.4 steals per game (253 steals/30 games) last season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.