South Florida vs UCF Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

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Central Florida head coach Johnny Dawkins reacts to a call during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Auburn Wednesday, Dec. 1, 2021, in Auburn, Ala.
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 22, 2023, 11:57 AM
  • UCF (15-11) is a -8.5 point favorite vs South Florida (11-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPNU

The South Florida Bulls (11-16) visit Addition Financial Arena to take on the UCF Knights (15-11) on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Orlando.

UCF is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The South Florida vs. UCF Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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South Florida vs. UCF Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Florida+8.5 -105O 141.5 -110+350
UCF -8.5 -115U 141.5 -110-450

South Florida vs UCF Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UCF will win this game with 70.0% confidence.

South Florida vs UCF Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both South Florida and UCF, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 21 games (+15.80 Units / 69% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 23 games (+14.60 Units / 58% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+11.80 Units / 111% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • South Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 15 away games (+10.85 Units / 66% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+12.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+6.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 44 games (+5.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.05 Units / 22% ROI)

South Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Florida has gone 15-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.9 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 10-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.4 Units / -24.39% ROI
  • 20-7 when betting the Over for +12.3 Units / 41.41% ROI
  • 7-20 when betting the Under for -15 Units / -50.51% ROI

UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCF has gone 13-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 0.92% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 10.49% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Under for -5.4 Units / -18.88% ROI

South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida has averaged 1.09 points per shot (3,444 points/3,165 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

South Florida is shooting 66% from the free throw line (572/871) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 71%

South Florida has an eFG% of 45% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

South Florida is shooting 41% (1,282/3,165) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCF has averaged 1.24 points per shot (1,511 points/1,220 shots) this season — 5th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.23

UCF has averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (289 turnovers/21 games) this season — tied for highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 12.5

UCF has averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (680 turnovers/51 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 12.5

UCF is shooting 36% from three (178/493) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida has averaged 6.7 steals per game (155 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

South Florida has 155 steals this season — 4th most among AAC Teams

South Florida has averaged 6.4 steals per game (348 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

South Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (545/1,284) this season — 5th highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 42%

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCF has averaged 6.9 steals per game (351 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

UCF has averaged 6.7 steals per game (141 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

UCF has allowed 66.0 points per game (1,385 points/21 games) this season — 2nd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 69.1

UCF has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (481/1,178) this season — 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 42%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.