Southern Illinois vs Murray State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 19

No 24 from Murray State Racers catching the NBA game ball
(AP Photo)
  • Murray State is a -1.5 point favorite vs Southern Illinois
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Southern Illinois / Murray State TV channel: ESPN+

The Southern Illinois Salukis visit Banterra Center to take on the Murray State Racers on Feb. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Carbondale, IL, USA.

Murray State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Southern Illinois vs. Murray State Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Southern Illinois vs. Murray State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Southern Illinois+1.5 -115O 137.5 -110-102
Murray State -1.5 -105U 137.5 -110-118

Southern Illinois vs Murray State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Southern Illinois will win this college basketball game with 72.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Southern Illinois vs Murray State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Murray State will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Southern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+9.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.20 Units / 22% ROI)

Southern Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Southern Illinois has a 11-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.3 Units / -12% ROI).

  • 10-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -17.08% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -16% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI

Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Murray State has a 10-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.5 Units / -22.73% ROI).

  • 12-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 6.64% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Under for -4.4 Units / -15.38% ROI

Southern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Illinois is shooting 69% from the free throw line (358/521) this season — 43rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Southern Illinois has 347 turnovers this season — 3rd most among Missouri Valley Teams

Southern Illinois attempted 593 free throws last season — 4th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Southern Illinois is shooting 73% from the free throw line (810/1,114) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 72%

Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has a 40% free throw rate (598 free throw attempts/1,481 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%

Murray State averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (303 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Murray State has made 26 two point field goals this season — 2nd most among Missouri Valley Teams

Murray State averaged 1.21 points per shot (2,232 points/1,841 shots) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Southern Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Illinois allowed 5.2 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Southern Illinois has forced 11.3 turnovers per game (306 turnovers/27 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Southern Illinois has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (220/611) this season — tied for 24th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Southern Illinois has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (696/1,563) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 45%

Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has allowed 5.5 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Murray State has averaged 6.6 steals per game (177 steals/27 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Murray State allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (273/743) last season — 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Murray State allowed 8.5 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 37th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.