Southern Illinois vs Valparaiso Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 21

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  • Valparaiso is a -2.5 point favorite vs Southern Illinois
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Southern Illinois / Valparaiso TV channel: ESPN+

The Southern Illinois Salukis visit Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Beacons on Jan. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Valparaiso, IN.

Valparaiso is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Southern Illinois vs. Valparaiso Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Southern Illinois vs. Valparaiso Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Southern Illinois vs Valparaiso Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Valparaiso will win this college basketball game with 51.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Southern Illinois vs Valparaiso Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Valparaiso will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Southern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 17 away games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Valparaiso have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 33 games (+2.90 Units / 7% ROI)

Southern Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Southern Illinois has a 8-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.95 Units / -14.94% ROI).

  • 7-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -4.59% ROI
  • 6-12 when betting the Over for -7.25 Units / -36.52% ROI
  • 12-6 when betting the Under for +5.4 Units / 27.34% ROI

Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Valparaiso has a 11-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.3 Units / 16.62% ROI).

  • 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -15.76% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting the Over for -0.9 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting the Under for -0.9 Units / -4.55% ROI

Southern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Illinois has averaged 75.7 points per game (1,363 points/18 games) this season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 76.0

Southern Illinois is shooting 46% (510/1,100) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 46%

Southern Illinois has made 6.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.9

Southern Illinois shot 76% from the free throw line (452/593) last season — 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Illinois allowed 5.2 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Southern Illinois has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (139/451) this season — 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 32%

Southern Illinois has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (139/451) this season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Southern Illinois has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (476/1,106) this season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 43%

Southern Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Illinois has averaged 75.7 points per game (1,363 points/18 games) this season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 76.0

Southern Illinois is shooting 46% (510/1,100) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 46%

Southern Illinois has made 6.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.9

Southern Illinois shot 76% from the free throw line (452/593) last season — 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Illinois allowed 5.2 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Southern Illinois has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (139/451) this season — 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 32%

Southern Illinois has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (139/451) this season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Southern Illinois has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (476/1,106) this season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 43%


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