- Southern Illinois is a -1.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso
- Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
- Southern Illinois / Valparaiso TV channel: ESPN+
The Southern Illinois Salukis visit Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Beacons on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Valparaiso, IN, USA.
Southern Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Southern Illinois vs. Valparaiso Over/Under is 149.5 total points.
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Southern Illinois vs. Valparaiso Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Southern Illinois | -1.5 -105 | O 149.5 -110 | -120 |
| Valparaiso | +1.5 -115 | U 149.5 -110 | +100 |
Southern Illinois vs Valparaiso Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Southern Illinois will win this college basketball game with 71.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Southern Illinois vs Valparaiso Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Southern Illinois will cover the spread with 66.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Southern Illinois Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Southern Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Southern Illinois have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- Southern Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.12 Units / 6% ROI)
- Southern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.05 Units / 6% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+3.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+0.07 Units / 0% ROI)
Southern Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Southern Illinois has a 8-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3 Units / -14.35% ROI).
- 7-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -20.43% ROI
- 9-10 when betting the Over for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI
- 10-9 when betting the Under for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has a 10-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.2 Units / 5.74% ROI).
- 8-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -12.87% ROI
- 12-7 when betting the Over for +4.3 Units / 20.57% ROI
- 7-12 when betting the Under for -6.2 Units / -29.67% ROI
Southern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:
Southern Illinois is shooting 68% from the free throw line (279/413) this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%
Southern Illinois has 311 assists this season — 5th most among Missouri Valley Teams
Southern Illinois has averaged 14.8 assists per game (311 assists/21 games) this season — 5th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 14.3
Southern Illinois has made 6.4 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Valparaiso averaged 24% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (453 free throw attempts/1,899 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Valparaiso had an eFG% of 47% last season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Valparaiso had 14.6 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2
Southern Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:
Southern Illinois allowed 5.2 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Southern Illinois has averaged 7.1 steals per game (149 steals/21 games) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.9
Southern Illinois has 149 steals this season — 5th most among Missouri Valley Teams
Southern Illinois has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (164/463) this season — tied for 28th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has averaged 5.9 steals per game (124 steals/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.9
Valparaiso has allowed an average of 1.29 points per shot (3,885 points/3,007 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 15th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (144/437) this season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%
Valparaiso forced 12.5 turnovers per game (387 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.6
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