Southern Utah vs Tarleton State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 19

Tarleton State head coach Billy Gillespie
(AP Photo)
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  • Tarleton State is a -4.5 point favorite vs Southern Utah
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Southern Utah / Tarleton State TV channel: ESPN+

The Southern Utah Thunderbirds visit EECU Center to take on the Tarleton State Texans on Feb. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Stephenville, TX.

Tarleton State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-118).

The Southern Utah vs. Tarleton State Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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Southern Utah vs. Tarleton State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Southern Utah vs Tarleton State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tarleton State will win this college basketball game with 69.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Southern Utah vs Tarleton State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tarleton State will cover the spread with 57.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Southern Utah has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+10.20 Units / 112% ROI)
  • Southern Utah have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Southern Utah has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Southern Utah has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Southern Utah has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Game Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Team Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.10 Units / 14% ROI)

Southern Utah Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Southern Utah has a 10-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.1 Units / -12.3% ROI).

  • 6-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -7.71% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 7.91% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Under for -4.3 Units / -17% ROI

Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tarleton State has a 13-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3 Units / 12.32% ROI).

  • 9-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -8.63% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Over for -3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 4.13% ROI

Southern Utah Offensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Utah has averaged 13.9 turnovers per game (362 turnovers/26 games) this season — tied for 7th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Southern Utah shot 47% from inside the arc (457/962) last season — 19th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

Southern Utah is shooting 50% from inside the arc (880/1,760) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has averaged 14.5 turnovers per game (376 turnovers/26 games) this season — 6th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Tarleton State has made 4.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Tarleton State made 4.1 three-pointers per game last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Tarleton State has made 4.6 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Southern Utah Defensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Utah has averaged 5.4 steals per game (141 steals/26 games) this season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Southern Utah has allowed 79.6 points per game (2,069 points/26 games) this season — tied for 33rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.1

Southern Utah allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (2,285 points/1,943 shots) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Southern Utah has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (2,467/5,386) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 23rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has forced 18.0 turnovers per game (469 turnovers/26 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Tarleton State has averaged 11.0 steals per game (286 steals/26 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Tarleton State has averaged 9.6 steals per game (863 steals/90 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Tarleton State has forced 15.7 turnovers per game (1,413 turnovers/90 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.