St. Bonaventure vs UMass Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2023, 11:06 AM
  • UMass (14-15) is a -2.5 point favorite vs St. Bonaventure (14-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Watch the game on USA

The St. Bonaventure Bonnies (14-16) visit William D. Mullins Center to take on the UMass Minutemen (14-15) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 2:30pm EST in Amherst.

UMass is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The St. Bonaventure vs. UMass Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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St. Bonaventure vs. UMass Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
St. Bonaventure+2.5 -115O 141.5 -115+110
UMass -2.5 -105U 141.5 -105-135

St. Bonaventure vs UMass Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UMass will win this game with 55.9% confidence.

St. Bonaventure vs UMass Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UMass will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both St. Bonaventure and UMass, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • St. Bonaventure has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • St. Bonaventure has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 away games (+5.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • UMass has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • UMass has hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 49 games (+4.90 Units / 9% ROI)

St. Bonaventure Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

St. Bonaventure has gone 17-13 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI).

  • 13-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -7.74% ROI
  • 15-15 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 15-15 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

UMass Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UMass has gone 12-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.7 Units / -21.04% ROI).

  • 12-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -12.31% ROI
  • 13-16 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -14.42% ROI
  • 16-13 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 5.33% ROI

St. Bonaventure Offensive Stats & Trends:

St. Bonaventure has made 6.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

St. Bonaventure has averaged 66.8 points per game (1,536 points/23 games) this season — tied for lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 70.7

St. Bonaventure has averaged 11.7 assists per game (269 assists/23 games) this season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

St. Bonaventure has a 30% free throw rate (394 free throw attempts/1,294 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

UMass Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMass is shooting 41% (556/1,343) this season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

UMass has an eFG% of 47% this season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

UMass has averaged 1.17 points per shot (1,573 points/1,343 shots) this season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

UMass has a 34% free throw rate (457 free throw attempts/1,343 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 45th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%

St. Bonaventure Defensive Stats & Trends:

St. Bonaventure has 158 steals this season — 5th most among Atlantic 10 Teams

St. Bonaventure has 367 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th most among Atlantic 10 Teams

St. Bonaventure has allowed 66.4 points per game (1,527 points/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 68.8

St. Bonaventure has allowed 66.4 points per game (1,527 points/23 games) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.6

UMass Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMass has averaged 7.1 steals per game (156 steals/22 games) this season — 5th best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

UMass has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (4,056 points/3,172 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

UMass has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (1,472/3,172) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

UMass has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (1,472/3,172) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.