Syracuse vs Louisville Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 3

Louisville head coach Pat Kelsey shouts instructions to his team during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Tennessee in Louisville, Ky., Saturday, Nov. 9, 2024. Tennessee won 77-55. (AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
(AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
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  • Louisville is a -12.5 point favorite vs Syracuse
  • Total (Over/Under): 158.5 points
  • Syracuse / Louisville TV channel: ACCN

The Syracuse Orange visit KFC Yum! Center to take on the Louisville Cardinals on Mar. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Louisville, KY.

Louisville is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The Syracuse vs. Louisville Over/Under is 158.5 total points.

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Syracuse vs. Louisville Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Syracuse vs Louisville Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Louisville will win this college basketball game with 77.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Syracuse vs Louisville Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 61.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Syracuse have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.75 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+3.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+10.85 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 6% ROI)

Syracuse Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Syracuse has a 14-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.55 Units / -7.98% ROI).

  • 15-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -0.33% ROI
  • 16-13 when betting the Over for +1.75 Units / 5.49% ROI
  • 13-16 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -14.4% ROI

Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisville has a 13-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.55 Units / -14.26% ROI).

  • 19-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 0.21% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Over for -6.75 Units / -21.13% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 11.93% ROI

Syracuse Offensive Stats & Trends:

Syracuse is shooting 64% from the free throw line (395/618) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Syracuse is shooting 66% from the free throw line (526/803) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 73%

Syracuse is shooting 68% from the free throw line (802/1,181) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 73%

Syracuse is shooting 64% from the free throw line (395/618) this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 72%

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville has made 287 three-pointers on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among ACC Teams

Louisville has made 11.8 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.4

Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (154 assists/ 231 TOs) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Louisville shot 28% from three (77/275) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Syracuse Defensive Stats & Trends:

Syracuse forced 14.5 turnovers per game (448 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Syracuse forced 14.2 turnovers per game (342 turnovers/24 games) last season — 4th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.3

Syracuse averaged 9.0 steals per game (280 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Syracuse has allowed opponents to shoot 48% (1,084/2,258) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,463 points/1,827 shots) last season — tied for highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (872/1,827) last season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (872/1,827) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 44%

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (450/927) in the first half last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.