- California Baptist is a -5.5 point favorite vs Tarleton State
- Total (Over/Under): 126.5 points
- Tarleton State / California Baptist TV channel: ESPN+
The Tarleton State Texans visit Orleans Arena to take on the California Baptist Lancers on Mar. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 11:30pm EDT in Las Vegas, NV, NV, USA.
California Baptist is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Tarleton State vs. California Baptist Over/Under is 126.5 total points.
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Tarleton State vs. California Baptist Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Tarleton State | +5.5 -110 | O 126.5 -105 | +195 |
| California Baptist | -5.5 -110 | U 126.5 -115 | -235 |
Tarleton State vs California Baptist Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts California Baptist will win this college basketball game with 78.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Tarleton State vs California Baptist Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tarleton State will cover the spread with 55.8% confidence for today’s game.
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Tarleton State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Tarleton State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 32 games (+11.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- Tarleton State have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- Tarleton State has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.75 Units / 5% ROI)
- Tarleton State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 32 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
California Baptist Basketball Best Bets Today:
- California Baptist has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)
Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Tarleton State has a 16-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.8 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- 9-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -12.03% ROI
- 12-16 when betting the Over for -5.5 Units / -17.92% ROI
- 16-12 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 9.06% ROI
California Baptist Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
California Baptist has a 11-19 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.9 Units / -30% ROI).
- 17-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -1.99% ROI
- 14-16 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI
- 16-14 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI
Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Tarleton State has averaged 16.6 turnovers per game (514 turnovers/31 games) this season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Tarleton State has made 4.2 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
Tarleton State has averaged 63.7 points per game (1,974 points/31 games) this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.8
Tarleton State made 5.5 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5
California Baptist Offensive Stats & Trends:
California Baptist averaged 67.1 points per game (2,079 points/31 games) last season — 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6
California Baptist shot 45% from inside the arc (455/1,004) last season — 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
California Baptist is shooting 47% from inside the arc (892/1,883) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 18th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
California Baptist shot 68% from the free throw line (447/654) last season — 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%
Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Tarleton State has averaged 19.7 defensive rebounds per game (612 rebounds/31 games) this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1
Tarleton State averaged 22.3 defensive rebounds per game (715 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Tarleton State has averaged 21.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,327 rebounds/63 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Tarleton State has averaged 9.5 steals per game (296 steals/31 games) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
California Baptist Defensive Stats & Trends:
California Baptist averaged 4.2 steals per game (130 steals/31 games) last season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
California Baptist allowed 5.1 made three-pointers per game last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
California Baptist allowed 65.5 points per game (2,030 points/31 games) last season — 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
California Baptist forced 9.8 turnovers per game (305 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
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