- California Baptist is a -7.5 point favorite vs Tarleton State
- Total (Over/Under): 129.5 points
- Tarleton State / California Baptist TV channel: ESPN+
The Tarleton State Texans visit Fowler Events Center to take on the California Baptist Lancers on Mar. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Riverside, CA, CA, USA.
California Baptist is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Tarleton State vs. California Baptist Over/Under is 129.5 total points.
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Tarleton State vs. California Baptist Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Tarleton State | +7.5 -110 | O 129.5 -110 | +260 |
| California Baptist | -7.5 -110 | U 129.5 -110 | -325 |
Tarleton State vs California Baptist Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts California Baptist will win this college basketball game with 79.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Tarleton State vs California Baptist Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts California Baptist will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence for today’s game.
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Tarleton State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Tarleton State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+13.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tarleton State has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tarleton State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tarleton State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
California Baptist Basketball Best Bets Today:
- California Baptist has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+4.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- California Baptist has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)
Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Tarleton State has a 15-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.9 Units / 10.14% ROI).
- 9-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -6.62% ROI
- 11-15 when betting the Over for -5.4 Units / -18.95% ROI
- 15-11 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 10.1% ROI
California Baptist Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
California Baptist has a 10-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.8 Units / -31.82% ROI).
- 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -4.38% ROI
- 14-14 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 14-14 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Tarleton State has made 4.9 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6
Tarleton State had an eFG% of 50% last season — 43rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Tarleton State has averaged 13.6 turnovers per game (828 turnovers/61 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Tarleton State is shooting 49% from inside the arc (359/738) this season — 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%
California Baptist Offensive Stats & Trends:
California Baptist averaged 67.1 points per game (2,079 points/31 games) last season — 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6
California Baptist shot 45% from inside the arc (455/1,004) last season — 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
California Baptist averaged 11.4 assists per game (353 assists/31 games) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4
California Baptist is shooting 47% from inside the arc (865/1,820) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Tarleton State has averaged 21.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,286 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Tarleton State has averaged 9.2 steals per game (562 steals/61 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Tarleton State averaged 22.3 defensive rebounds per game (715 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Tarleton State has 285 steals this season — 9th most among Division 1 Teams
California Baptist Defensive Stats & Trends:
California Baptist averaged 4.2 steals per game (130 steals/31 games) last season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
California Baptist allowed 5.1 made three-pointers per game last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
California Baptist forced 9.8 turnovers per game (305 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
California Baptist allowed 65.5 points per game (2,030 points/31 games) last season — 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
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