Tarleton State vs Texas-Arlington Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 01, 2023, 1:05 PM
  • Tarleton State (12-10) are -2.5 point favorites vs Texas-Arlington (7-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 130.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Tarleton State Texans (12-10) visit College Park Center to take on the Texas-Arlington Mavericks (7-15) on Feb. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Arlington.

Tarleton State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Tarleton State vs. Texas-Arlington Over/Under is 130.5 total points.

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Tarleton State vs. Texas-Arlington Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tarleton State-2.5 -115O 130.5 -115-140
Texas-Arlington +2.5 -105U 130.5 -105+115

Tarleton State vs Texas-Arlington Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Tarleton State will win this game with 56.2% confidence.

Tarleton State vs Texas-Arlington Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tarleton State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Tarleton State and Texas-Arlington, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 29 games (+14.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • UT Arlington has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • UT Arlington has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.10 Units / 48% ROI)
  • UT Arlington has hit the Game Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • UT Arlington has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • UT Arlington have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)

Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tarleton State has gone 9-9 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.9 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 1.23% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Over for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Under for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI

Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has made 4.6 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Tarleton State has made 4.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Tarleton State has 24.6 free throw attempts per game this season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1

Tarleton State has made 4.6 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas-Arlington Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas-Arlington has 283 offensive rebounds this season — most among WAC Teams

Texas-Arlington has an eFG% of 45% this season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 51%

Texas-Arlington has averaged 12.9 offensive rebounds per game (283 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Texas-Arlington has a TS% of 42% this season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 47%

Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has averaged 21.0 defensive rebounds per game (461 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Tarleton State has averaged 9.2 steals per game (203 steals/22 games) this season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Tarleton State has averaged 21.0 defensive rebounds per game (461 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Tarleton State has averaged 20.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,062 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Texas-Arlington Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas-Arlington has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (161/442) this season — highest among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Texas-Arlington has averaged 22.5 defensive rebounds per game (494 rebounds/22 games) this season — 4th lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Texas-Arlington has allowed 68.0 points per game (3,467 points/51 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th highest among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 68.1

Texas-Arlington has allowed 7.8 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd highest among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 6.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.