TCU vs Kansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2023, 11:09 AM
  • TCU (20-11) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Kansas State (23-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN2

The TCU Horned Frogs (20-11) visit T-Mobile Center to take on the Kansas State Wildcats (23-8) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Kansas City.

TCU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The TCU vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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TCU vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
TCU-2.5 -105O 147.5 -110-130
Kansas State +2.5 -115U 147.5 -110+110

TCU vs Kansas State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts TCU will win this game with 53.6% confidence.

TCU vs Kansas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both TCU and Kansas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 46 games (+18.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+15.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+17.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+13.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+10.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.65 Units / 20% ROI)

TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

TCU has gone 15-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 14-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 6.64% ROI
  • 17-14 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 4.69% ROI
  • 14-17 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -13.78% ROI

Kansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kansas State has gone 20-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+9 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 21-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.55 Units / 19.09% ROI
  • 16-15 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -1.47% ROI
  • 15-16 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -7.62% ROI

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

TCU averaged 1.5 turnovers per game (27 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

TCU had 27 turnovers in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU has made 5.2 three-pointers per game this season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.2

TCU is shooting 29% from three (114/390) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. attempted 363 threes in half court possessions last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. attempted 301 threes in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. made 109 three-pointers in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. made 46 three-pointers on right wing attemps last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 18% from three (4/22) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 37%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three off the dribble (12/64) last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 47% on catch and shoot opportunities (23/49) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

TCU allowed an average of 0.52 points per shot (12 points/23 shots) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.09

Kansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. allowed 31.6 points per game (664 points/21 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Kansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (87/312) this season — 5th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Kansas St. allowed 55.0 points per game (1,155 points/21 games) in half court possessions last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 50.5

Kansas St. allowed opponents to shoot 57% (309/539) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 51%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.