TCU vs UCF Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 17

Central Florida head coach Johnny Dawkins reacts to a call during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Auburn Wednesday, Dec. 1, 2021, in Auburn, Ala.
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
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  • UCF is a -2.5 point favorite vs TCU
  • Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
  • TCU / UCF TV channel: ESPN+

The TCU Horned Frogs visit Addition Financial Arena to take on the UCF Knights on Feb. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Orlando, FL.

UCF is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The TCU vs. UCF Over/Under is 155.5 total points.

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TCU vs. UCF Odds, Spread, Over/Under

TCU vs UCF Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UCF will win this college basketball game with 58.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

TCU vs UCF Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 53.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • TCU has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 1% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+11.80 Units / 3% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.60 Units / 14% ROI)

TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

TCU has a 13-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI).

  • 16-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -47.05 Units / -2.44% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -8.36% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI

UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCF has a 11-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.2 Units / -8.32% ROI).

  • 17-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.9 Units / 3.85% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Over for -5.4 Units / -20.45% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 11.36% ROI

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

TCU had 27 turnovers in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU averaged 1.5 turnovers per game (27 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

TCU scored 171 points in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU attempted 62 threes in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCF averaged 11.1 assists per game (356 assists/32 games) last season — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 15.1

UCF had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (356 assists/ 392 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

UCF had an eFG% of 48% last season — 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

UCF averaged 38% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (702 free throw attempts/1,835 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 20th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 17% (4/23) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% on catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 18% from three (4/22) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 37%

TCU forced 3.5 turnovers per game (63 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 4.2

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCF forced 14.0 turnovers per game (448 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

UCF allowed 83.9 points per game (2,264 points/27 games) last season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.1

UCF allowed 66.4 points per game (2,124 points/32 games) last season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

UCF allowed 7.4 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 3rd highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.1


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