Tennessee vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 3

Arkansas head coach John Calipari reacts during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Illinois, Thursday, Nov. 28, 2024, in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
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  • Arkansas is a -2.5 point favorite vs Tennessee
  • Total (Over/Under): 157.5 points
  • Tennessee / Arkansas TV channel: ESPN2

The Tennessee Volunteers visit Bud Walton Arena to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks on Jan. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Fayetteville, AR.

Arkansas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Tennessee vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 157.5 total points.

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Tennessee vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tennessee+2.5 -110O 157.5 -105125
Arkansas -2.5 -110U 157.5 -115-150

Tennessee vs Arkansas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this college basketball game with 62.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Tennessee vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 38 games (+5.15 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games (+3.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 38 games (+0.30 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 36 games (+13.05 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Arkansas have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 36 games (+8.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 36 games (+6.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 36 games (+2.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 22 games at home (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has a 5-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI).

  • 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 0.12% ROI
  • 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.79% ROI
  • 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.65 Units / -11.58% ROI

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a 9-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.6 Units / 32.06% ROI).

  • 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 0.47% ROI
  • 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
  • 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (2,495 points/1,922 shots) last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Arkansas averaged 5.9 steals per game (184 steals/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Arkansas has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (605/1,884) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Arkansas allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (2,495 points/1,922 shots) last season — tied for 7th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has averaged 15.6 offensive rebounds per game (203 rebounds/13 games) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.0

Tennessee has averaged 15.6 offensive rebounds per game (203 rebounds/13 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 12.2

Tennessee averaged 79.0 points per game (2,606 points/33 games) last season — 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Tennessee made 8.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (2,495 points/1,922 shots) last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Arkansas averaged 5.9 steals per game (184 steals/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Arkansas has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (605/1,884) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Arkansas allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (2,495 points/1,922 shots) last season — tied for 7th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has averaged 15.6 offensive rebounds per game (203 rebounds/13 games) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.0

Tennessee has averaged 15.6 offensive rebounds per game (203 rebounds/13 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 12.2

Tennessee averaged 79.0 points per game (2,606 points/33 games) last season — 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Tennessee made 8.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.