Tennessee vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 18

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 18, 2023, 11:04 AM
  • Tennessee (20-6) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Kentucky (17-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Tennessee Volunteers (20-6) visit Rupp Arena to take on the Kentucky Wildcats (17-9) on Feb. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Lexington.

Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Tennessee vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

Bet now on Kentucky vs Tennessee & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tennessee-1.5 -115O 133.5 -105-135
Kentucky +1.5 -105U 133.5 -115+110

Tennessee vs Kentucky Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 54.2% confidence.

Tennessee vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Tennessee and Kentucky, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Kentucky vs Tennessee and all games with BetMGM


  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 41 games (+4.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has gone 14-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.8 Units / 2.79% ROI).

  • 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.05 Units / -22.77% ROI
  • 10-16 when betting the Over for -7.6 Units / -26.57% ROI
  • 16-10 when betting the Under for +5 Units / 17.48% ROI

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has gone 11-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.5 Units / -19.23% ROI).

  • 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.1 Units / -26.56% ROI
  • 17-9 when betting the Over for +7.1 Units / 24.83% ROI
  • 9-17 when betting the Under for -9.7 Units / -33.92% ROI

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has 688 assists at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among SEC Teams

Tennessee has averaged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (299 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.6

Tennessee has averaged 16.7 assists per game (952 assists/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 13.8

Tennessee has 952 assists since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among SEC Teams

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (296 assists/ 257 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 0.9

Kentucky is shooting 50% (1,092/2,183) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 45%

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (439 assists/ 320 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Kentucky is shooting 38% from three (246/653) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has averaged 9.3 steals per game (530 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.7

Tennessee has averaged 9.3 steals per game (204 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Tennessee has averaged 9.3 steals per game (530 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Tennessee has 204 steals this season — 3rd most among SEC Teams

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has forced 12.2 turnovers per game (681 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 14.0

Kentucky has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,502 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Kentucky has forced 10.8 turnovers per game (226 turnovers/21 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 13.1

Kentucky has allowed 33.2 points per game (731 points/22 games) in the second half this season — 3rd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 35.4


Bet now on Kentucky vs Tennessee and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated college basketball betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.